Document 1364 17th May 1993
Technical co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies
Treaty
REPORT (1)
submitted on behalf of the Technological and Aerospace Committee
(2)
by Mr. Tummers, Rapporteur
TABLE OF CONTENTS
DRAFT RECOMMENDATION
on technical co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty
DRAFT RESOLUTION
on technical co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty
DRAFT ORDER
on technical co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty
EXPLANATORY MEMORANDUM
submitted by Mr. Tummers, Rapporteur
I. Introduction
II. The treaty
The choice of the observation aircraft
Sensors
Raw data
Open Skies Consultative Commission
Entry into force, duration and provisional application of the
treaty
III. Importance of the air observation regime
IV. Co-operation between WEU member countries
V. Prospects of WEU co-operation with the Russian Federation
VI. Imagery evaluation - a role for the WEU Satellite Centre in
Torrejon?
VII. Future prospects for the further development of the open
skies regime
VIII. Conclusions
APPENDICES
I. The CSCE Declaration on the Open Skies Treaty, Helsinki,
24th March 1992
II. Quotas and maximum flight distances
III. Information transmitted by the Executive Secretariat CSCE
Vienna, CFE, JCG, OSCC
IV. Option, using an aircraft equipped with a special pod
V. Synopsis
Draft Recommendation
on technical co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty
The Assembly,
(i) Welcoming the new possibilities of transparency and openness
regarding military forces and activities offered by the opening of the
airspace of North America, Europe and the Asian parts of the Russian |
Federation from Vancouver to Vladivostok for reciprocal aerial
observation agreed by the Open Skies Treaty signed in Helsinki on 24th
March 1992;
(ii) Emphasising that this important confidence- and security-
building measure can reach its goal of creating a new multinational co-
operative security approach only if all member states of the Community
of Independent States accede to the treaty and if no member country of
the CSCE is excluded;
(iii) Stressing further that more than one year after the signature
of the treaty the parliaments of WEU member states should shoulder
their responsibility for allowing early entry into force and full
implementation of the treaty by accelerating their ratification
procedures;
(iv) Welcoming the decision of the WEU Council to form a single
group of states in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty;
(v) Noting however the difficulties encountered by the WEU Open
Skies Expert Group in harmonising the different options for a practical
WEU-co-operation during nearly two years of discussions which made it
impossible to reach an agreement for the use of a single type of
observation aircraft;
(vi) Noting that the WEU aircraft pool envisaged now is to be based
on the number of aircraft actually available equipped with appropriate
sensors in order to conduct joint air observation missions in
accordance with the treaty in its most cost-effective conditions;
(vii) Considering that a number of questions are still open such as:
the selection of appropriate sensors to equip the aircraft;
the status of associate members and observers within the WEU
group of states;
cost-sharing;
whether and to what extent should the WEU Satellite Centre be
asked to take on the task of interpreting the images
gathered by the sensors;
(viii) Welcoming the efforts of the Council to negotiate the
conditions of co-operation with the Russian Federation, in particular
regarding its participation in the WEU aircraft pool; |
(ix) Stressing however that the WEU contacts with the Russian
Federation should not be exclusive and that co-operation should be
enlarged to include all interested countries of the Community of
Independent States and also the eight Central and Eastern European
countries with which the Council has established regular consultations;
(x) Deeming it necessary for WEU as a group of states within the
Open Skies Treaty to elaborate at an early stage concepts for the
possible extension of the open skies regime to wider areas as provided
for in the treaty and to establish close working contacts with the Open
Skies Consultative Commission,
RECOMMENDS THAT THE COUNCIL
1. Provide the Assembly with detailed information on its decision
regarding the creation of a WEU aircraft pool intended for air
observation missions in the framework of the open skies regime;
2. Ensure that no type of aircraft made available by a member
country shall be excluded from the pool;
3. Inform the Assembly:
(a) whether Greece, the associate members and the observers are
already part of the group of states created by the WEU
Vienna declaration;
(b) whether WEU has decided in the meantime to transform this
group in accordance with Article III, Section II,
paragraph 3 of the Open Skies Treaty, as announced in
Vienna;
4. Give an enlarged mandate to the WEU expert group:
(a) to examine all the additional consequences not yet tackled and
which arise from the decision taken in Vienna to act as
a group of states;
(b) to evaluate the conditions for mandating the WEU Satellite
Centre to interpret sensor imagery;
(c) in liaison with the NATO Verification Co-ordinating Committee,
to determine how to use the open skies observation
means for the CFE Treaty;
(d) to examine the possible extension of the open skies regime to
wider areas such as conflict prevention, crisis
management and protection of the environment;
5. Take a joint initiative urging Armenia, Azarbaijan, Kazakhstan, |
Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan to accede to the Open
Skies Treaty;
6. Seek co-operation similar to that envisaged with the Russian
Federation also with other member states of the Community of
Independent State, in particular with Ukraine and Kazakhstan, and
inform the Assembly of the results of the relevant negotiations;
7. Establish a permanent WEU representation with the Open Skies
Consultative Commission in Vienna.
Draft Resolution
on technical co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty
The Assembly,
(i) Welcoming the new possibilities of transparency and openness
regarding military forces and activities offered by the opening of the
airspace of North America, Europe and the Asian parts of the Russian
Federation from Vancouver to Vladivostok for reciprocal aerial
observation agreed by the Open Skies Treaty signed in Helsinki on 24th
March 1992;
(ii) Emphasising that this important confidence- and security-
building measure can reach its goal of creating a new multinational co-
operative security approach only if all member states of the Community
of Independent States accede to the treaty and if no member country of
the CSCE is excluded;
(iii) Stressing further that more than one year after the signature
of the treaty the parliaments of WEU member states and of all the other
signatories should shoulder their responsibility for allowing early
entry into force and full implementation of the treaty by accelerating
their ratification procedures,
Urges the governments and the parliaments of WEU member states and
of all the other signatories of the Open Skies Treaty to ensure that
the ratification procedure is concluded before the end of 1993.
Draft Order
on technical co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty |
The Assembly,
Invites the President of the Assembly to transmit the resolution on
technical co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty to all
signatories of the Open Skies Treaty.
Explanatory Memorandum
(submitted by Mr. Tummers, Rapporteur)
I. Introduction
There are several reasons why the Technological and Aerospace
Committee and the Assembly take a special interest in the Open Skies
Treaty.
The first is that this treaty establishes a new type of confidence-
building measure in opening to aerial inspection for the first time in
history, the airspace of the whole of North America, Europe and the
Asian part of Russia from Vancouver to Vladivostok.
The second reason is that so far only five states have ratified the
treaty1. Consequently it is necessary to urge the parliaments of member
countries and of other states to proceed to early ratification, so that
the treaty may enter into force.
The third reason is that in conformity with the treaty, WEU member
countries have decided to act as a group for the practical and
technical implementation of the treaty which raises a number of
problems which will be studied in this report, with particular regard
to WEU Council plans to establish a pool of aircraft and sensors for
joint use in conducting observation flights with a view to cost sharing
and facilitating WEU co-operation with the Russian Federation in these
matters. Your rapporteur will complete this report later in the light
of decisions to be taken by the WEU Ministerial Council on 19th May on
WEU co-operation in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty.
The fourth reason is that there is a need to monitor the
willingness of signatory states, and in particular that of WEU member
countries, to bear the cost of effectively implementing the treaty.
Another risk is that for financial reasons interest in implementing the |
treaty may flag in certain countries. As your rapporteur has already
done in his report on Disarmament - reply to the thirty-third annual
report of the Council in December 19882, he wishes to point out again
that disarmament and its verification is not cheap and needs
appropriate financial means. This is also true for the confidence-
building measures envisaged in the Open Skies Treaty. It is therefore
very important to verify whether member governments are ready to take
advantage of all reasonable industrial offers and proposals regarding
the appropriate technical observation means allowed by the Open Skies
Treaty.
The fifth, but not last, reason is the importance of raising
political interest in the possibilities offered by the Open Skies
Treaty for verifying a number of other existing or future agreements
for arms control, conflit prevention, crisis management and possibly
the extention of its regime to additional areas such as the protection
of the environment.
II. The treaty
The Open Skies Treaty was signed in Helsinki on 24th March 1992 by
twenty-five countries, including the sixteen member countries of the
Atlantic Alliance, the former East-European members of the Warsaw Pact,
and Russia, Belarus, Ukraine and Georgia as successor states to the
Soviet Union. The treaty is open for signature by all the other
successor states to the Soviet Union such as Armenia, Azerbaijan,
Kazakhstan, Kirgizstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and
Uzbekistan, but so far only Kirgizstan has signed it.
Certain difficulties have prevented the full participation of all
CSCE member countries in the treaty negotiations and in the signature
process in Helsinki. First, there were differences between France and
the United States over France's position that the Open Skies regime
should become part of the CSCE process. Second, Turkey refused to agree
to the inclusion of Cyprus.
As a compromise, during a six-month period after the treaty's entry |
into force, Article XVII of the treaty now allows any of the CSCE
members states to apply for accession to the treaty, although this
requires the agreement of all the signatory states. It is to be hoped
that the difficulties raised so far to the participation of a number of
countries will be resolved in the meantime.
A CSCE declaration3 linked to the Open Skies Treaty initiated by
Finland offers certain countries - such as Sweden and Finland - the
possibility of participating in the implementation of the treaty prior
to their accession. On that basis, they were granted a quota of three
observation flights over the territory of Russia and Belarus.
Furthermore, six months after its entry into force, the signatory
states may decide on the accession to the treaty of any other
interested countries outside the CSCE. According to the leader of the
German Delegation in the negotiations4, participants had in mind, in
particular Japan and China, but at a later stage the treaty will be
open to any members of the United Nations or might be used as a model
for after regional agreements.
The cornerstone of the treaty is that all participants shall have
the right to conduct observation flights, at short notice, over the
territory of any other signatory states and shall be obliged to accept
observation flights over their territory in accordance with the
provisions of the treaty.
Restrictions are allowed only for reasons of flight security, but
not because of the national security interests of the observed country.
Article III and Appendix A of the treaty establish the rules for active
and passive flight quotas5.
The number of observation flights every state party is obliged to
tolerate over its territory (passive quota) depends in general on the
size and importance of the observed country; for instance the quotas
for the United States and Russia Belarus are forty-two each; for
France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Italy, Turkey and Ukraine, twelve |
each; for smaller countries such as Bulgaria and Hungary, four each, or
for Portugal, two.
Every state party shall have the right to conduct a number of
observation flights over the territory of any other state party equal
to the number of observation flights which that other state party has
the right to conduct (active quota, Article III, Section I,
paragraph 3). The total active quota of a state party shall not exceed
its total passive quota (Article III, Section I, paragraph 5 at the
end). However, in the first three years after the entry into force of
the treaty, the number of observation flights is limited to 75% of the
passive quota6.
After the entry into force of the treaty, the distribution of
active quotas shall be subject to an annual review for the following
calendar year (Article III, Section I, paragraph 7). The results of
such a review will depend on the individual interests of states parties
and on the development of the general political situation. So far the
main interest during the negotiations were concentrated on observation
flights over the territories of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine.
The treaty allows the establishment of different kinds of "group of
states parties". According to Article XIV, Belgium, the Netherlands and
Luxemburg are to be considered as a single state party, called Benelux.
The Russian Federation and Belarus have formed a group of states
parties sharing their total active and passive flight quotas in
accordance with Article III, Section II, paragraph 3. On the other
hand, the member countries of WEU have formed a group of state parties
sharing their active flight quotas, while retaining their individual
passive quotas in accordance with Article III, Section II, paragraph 2
of the treaty.
Furthermore, the Head of the German Delegation representing the
chairman-in-office of the WEU Council, declared at the plenary Open
Skies Conference in Vienna on 18th March 1992 :
"We also reserve our right to transform in due course |
this group according to paragraph 3 of the section
referred to. In this connection I should like to
recall the invitation which the member states of WEU
have extended to a number of other states in their
declaration issued on the occasion of the 46th European
Council meeting on 9th and 10th December 1991 at
Maastricht."
That means that all countries invited to become full members or
associate members of Western European Union or observers, may join the
WEU group of state parties in the framework of the Open Skies Treaty.
The choice of the observation aircraft
In Article II, paragraph 4, the treaty defines as "observation
aircraft" an unarmed, fixed wing aircraft designated to make
observation flights, registered by the relevant authorities of a state
party and equipped with agreed sensors. The term "unarmed" means that
the observation aircraft used for the purposes of the treaty is not
equipped to carry and employ weapons. Furthermore, each observation
aircraft shall be capable of carrying the flight crew and the necessary
personnel. (Article V, paragraph 5).
Article II, paragraph 11 and Appendix A define, for the length of
the observation flights, individual "maximum flight distances" in
accordance with the size of the relevant country. The term means the
maximum distance over the territory of the observed country from the
point at which the observation flight may commence to the point at
which that flight may terminate. The maximum flight distance for
Germany, for instance, is 1 200 km ; for the United States, 4 900 km ;
for Russia/Belarus, 6 500 km.
Sensors
The treaty allows two different kinds of sensors configuration,
i.e.:
a podded installation (outside the aircraft) which shall be
denoted by the code "POD";
an internal installation (inside the aircraft) which shall be
denoted by the code "INT".
After the expiration of an initial phase of three years beginning
from the entry into force of the treaty, the sensors installed on an |
observation aircraft shall permit observation of military activities
and installations even during darkness and in all weather conditions.
Article IV, paragraph 1, allows equipment with sensors only from
amongst the following categories :
(a) optical panoramic and framing cameras ;
(b) video cameras with real time display ;
(c) infra-red line scanning devices and
(d) sideways-looking synthetic aperture radar (SAR).
The allowable ground resolution of the sensors - which means the
minimum distance on the ground between two closely-located objects
distinguishable as separate objects - is determined specifically in
order to permit the identification of significant types of military
equipment such as tanks, artillery and armoured personnel carriers.
The maximum obtainable resolution from the optical, framing and
video cameras is 30 cm, this makes it possible to distinguish a tank
from a truck for instance, but it is not sufficient to distinguish one
type of tank from another. For infra-red devices, the maximum
resolution is 50 cm. These sensors allow viewing in poor light
conditions and, thanks to their ability to detect sources of heat, the
operational state of installations such as airports, military bases and
industrial sites can be determined. The maximum SAR (sideways-looking
synthetic aperture radar) resolution of three meters will enable
overflights to locate potential concentrations of equipment, which
could then be more thoroughly investigated using the other sensors7.
Since all the treaty's signatories do not now possess the same
sophisticated sensor technology, Article XVII of the treaty stipulates
that during the initial three-year phase in period, only camera-type
sensors will be allowed. The use of infra-red line scanning devices
will not be permitted during that period, unless otherwise agreed
between the observing and observed parties.
In the final stage, all states parties shall have equal commercial
access to sensor systems capable of producing the maximum allowable |
image resolution. The treaty also establishes a procedure for the
introduction of additional categories and improvements to the
capabilities of existing sensors. (According to Peter Jones, member of
the Canadian delegation to the Open Skies Conference8, air sampling
devices have already been discussed as one type of new sensor package.
These devices would permit Open Skies overflights to monitor
environmental degradation and could assist in the verification of the
chemical weapons convention).
Raw data
Article IX of the treaty provides that all raw data are to be fully
shared between the signatories on a shared-cost basis. This provision
enables the smaller countries to have access to the entire raw-data
pool of the regime, rather than being limited to the data obtained from
their small number of overflights.
Open Skies Consultative Commission
The treaty provides for the creation of an "Open Skies Consultative
Commission" in Vienna which started its activities on 2nd April 1992.
Its objectives are to settle practical and technical questions in
connection with the implementation of the treaty, details of which are
defined in Article X and Appendix L.
Its first task was to settle a number of questions not resolved at
the date of signature, for instance the details of cost-sharing,
whereas a general consensus exists that the observing country in
principal bears the cost of the observation flights. Other open
questions9 were settled by the commission prior to 30th June 1992, thus
fulfilling the conditions for the ratification of the treaty.
At a later stage, the Open Skies Consultative Commission will also
be responsible for questions of treaty amendments and examining the
possible accession of new member countries to the treaty.
Entry into force, duration and provisional application of the treaty
The treaty shall be of unlimited duration (Article XV). It enters
into force sixty days after the deposit of twenty instruments of |
ratification, including those of the depositaries, and of state parties
whose individual allocation of passive quotas is eight or more
(Article XVII, paragraph 2).
Some treaty provisions are already provisionally applicable in
order to facilitate its implementation. This applies in particular to
the work of the Open Skies Consultative Commission, the transmission of
notifications and reports required by the treaty and the designation of
personnel who will carry out duties relating to the conduct of
observation flights, including monitoring of sensor output.
III. Importance of the air observation regime
The treaty is inherently of political importance: it constitutes
the first confidence-building regime to include all of the territory of
North America, Europe and the Asian part of Russia for aerial
inspection, with the possibility of extending the regime to other
countries and regions in the world.
A proposal made already in July 1955 by President Eisenhower to the
Soviet Union, which was revived thirty-four years later by President
Bush, in May 1989, led to negotiations between the two alliances in
Ottawa in February 1990 which successfully concluded after two years
negotiations with a comprehensive multilateral treaty open for the
accession of any interested country. Experience gained in bilateral
reconnaissance overflight agreed in the framework of the Egyptian-
Israeli disengagement agreements in 1974/1975, then from the trial
Canadian-Hungarian trial open skies overflight in January 1992 and the
conclusion of a bilateral Open Skies Treaty between Hungary and Romania
on 11th May 1991, were certainly helpful in demonstrating the
usefulness and feasibility of establishing an overall open skies
regime.
For this purpose, it may be assimilated to the confidence- and
security-building measures (CSBM) drawn up in the CSCE. CSBMs form a
special chapter among overall arms control measures. Their main aim is |
to reduce the possibility of a conflict breaking out as a result of an
incident. However, their main purpose is to improve in a tangible
manner the standard of the political environment at bi- and
multilateral levels. They are in fact part of a highly psychological
process designed to reduce suspicion in the perception of an another
country's military posture. To this end, the application of a CSBM must
give rise to an accurate, reliable exchange of information between the
parties concerning the state and posture of their respective forces and
such information can be verified by on-site inspections.
However, the Open Skies Treaty is wider in scope than the CSBMs
which were described in the 1990 Vienna document and then further
developed in the 1992 document. On the one hand, they are the first
confidence-building measures to extend beyond the territory normally
covered by the CSCE process (Atlantic to the Urals). Indeed, the area
covered by the treaty also includes the entire territory of Canada, the
United States and Russia, i.e. almost the whole of the earth's northern
hemisphere. Moreover, the treaty is the first example of a confidence-
building measure being introduced by treaty and thus having a juridical
and consequently binding status, unlike those introduced by the CSCE,
which are merely a moral constraint. Thus, the Open Skies Treaty is
perhaps the most extensive confidence-building measure ever introduced
by multilateral agreements. As John H. Hawes, the United States
representative at the open skies negotiations in Ottawa, wrote: "Open
Skies is intended as a serious confidence-building measure, that is,
one in which international confidence derives from the substance of
what the regime produces, and not solely or even primarily from the
symbolism or novelty of the fact that the regime exists at all."
The treaty implies no obligation for a state to declare beforehand
the state and number of its forces, each party consenting a priori to |
be observed. In this context, the accuracy (resolution) of the images
supplied is less decisive than for a verification regime. The most
important aspect of such a regime would lie, according to Joe Clark,
former Canadian Secretary of State for External Affairs, in the
"positive political act of opening a nation's activities to detailed,
intrusive monitoring - a symbolic opening of the doors. It would be a
clear, unequivocal gesture that a nation's intentions are not
aggressive"10.
The end of the East-West confrontation, the transformation of the
Soviet Union into a Community of Independant States and the new quality
of relations with Russia might have relativised the initial western
interest in the regime. But in view of the uncertainty of future
developments in this region and other areas, the possibility of
conducting regular observation flights can have a stabilising effect.
Regarding the military importance of the regime, one has to admit
that its observation means are not as intrusive as those provided for
the verification of a number of disarmament and arms control
agreements. Furthermore, the regime represents only a relatively modest
enhancement of the existing satellite surveillance capabilities of the
United States and Russia. As the United States representative of the
Open Skies negotiations reported to the Senate, the sensors will not
provide very much new information to the United States but will
primarily benefit nations which do not have sophisticated national
technical means such as satellites.
On the other hand, many satellites are limited in their ability to
manoeuvre in response to events, whereas aircraft can revisit an area
quickly and can remain there for extended periods11. More generally, an
open skies system is flexible and economical, making it certainly
interesting, particularly compared with satellite means, which are an
expensive solution within the reach only of the great powers. The open
skies system, on the contrary, allows each participating state to have |
information about the military activities of other countries. The use
of aircraft is also more flexible and observation flights can be made
in the least foreseeable manner.
The trajectories of satellites are imposed by their orbits. Their
possibilities of manoeuvre in the light of events and their ability to
follow different courses are fairly limited. Conversely, an aircraft
can follow a flight plan for observing several different sites during
the same mission, it can hover an objective, etc., all this within a
very short lapse of time. To effect the same type of observation with a
satellite, several readjustments would have to be made to its orbit at
considerable expenditure and loss of time. Finally, it is easier for an
airborne system to have sensors: for instance, a faulty system can be
repaired, systems can be inspected before, during and after the flight,
etc.
Furthermore, the observation means of the Open Skies Treaty have a
special advantage over the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in
Europe (CFE) whose area of application is limited from the Atlantic to
the Urals (ATTU Zone). Shortly before the CFE Treaty was signed in
1990, the Soviets transferred vast quantities of military equipment to
regions East of the Urals. These transfers released this equipment from
the CFE requirement to be destroyed and from CFE verification
provisions as well.
Therefore, apart from satellite surveillance, the observation means
of the Open Skies Treaty became the only way to keep an eye on military
equipment beyond the Urals and to verify the destruction of many of
these weapons promised by the Soviet Union in 1991.
On the other hand, there is no formal link between the Open Skies
and CFE Treaties. Conceptually, they concern two distinct areas: open
skies - confidence; CFE - verification. In spite of this distinction,
which was intentional in order to avoid reducing the scope of the
treaty, it is generally accepted that the two treaties are in some |
respects complementary. This is mainly due to the fact that the CFE
Treaty contains no provisions relating to aerial verification. This
question had a direct influence on the Open Skies Treaty negotiations.
Since then, a number of people have wished a link to be established
between the two regimes. Some even considere that the open skies regime
is de facto the aerial verification regime of the CFE Treaty. This
matter was in fact left open in the text of the treaty, which lays down
that :
"Upon completion of the 120-day residual level
validation period, each state party shall have the
right to conduct, an agreed number of aerial
inspections within the area of application. Such agreed
numbers and other applicable provisions shall be
developed during negotiations referred to in
Article VIII12."
Thus, aerial inspections under the CFE Treaty are merely a future
possibility after an initial stage of armament reductions, i.e. not
earlier than 1995-96. Clearly, if there were to be such a protocol, it
would necessarily be the result of experience acquired through
application of the Open Skies Treaty.
Moreover, the CFE Treaty as such establishes a very elaborate
verification system to be conducted by site inspection teams13.
However, the scope of the treaty is limited by the fact that the area
concerned by CFE reductions extends only from the Atlantic to the Urals
(ATTU area). The reductions provided for in the treaty concern only
certain categories of equipment: tanks, armoured combat vehicles,
artillery pieces with a calibre over 100 mm, aircraft and helicopters
defined as equipment limited by the treaty (TLE). A fortiori, these
reductions concern only certain units.
The Open Skies Treaty, on the other hand, covers a much broader
area of application but is not really appropriate in its present form
for carrying out verification tasks. With the sensors provided for in
the treaty and the accompanying limits, it is not possible to identify |
equipment limited by the CFE Treaty. The Open Skies Treaty nevertheless
offsets some of the limitations of the CFE Treaty. Inter alia, the
entire territory of the former Soviet Union can be monitored.
Futhermore, the state of forces not included in the TLE category can be
monitored, and in particular:
conventional equipment not corresponding to the specific
definitions laid down in the treaty;
equipment covered by the treaty but deployed outside the ATTU
area;
naval equipment;
space equipment;
missiles;
air transport means, etc.
These measures therefore help to complete the CFE framework and
avoid the emergence of major imbalances and reductions under the CFE
Treaty leading to increases elsewhere.
In the framework of the application of the treaty itself, open
skies flights would allow on-site inspections to be better directed, in
particular challenge inspections on suspect areas. The Open Skies
Treaty would allow detection. This would avoid mistakes relating to the
interest of the site to be inspected. It can thus be seen how the two
regimes might in practice be complementary.
This leaves open a number of further options for enlarging its
application areas which will be examined more closely in Chapter VII of
the report. It should therefore not be considered as the end but rather
as a beginning and a challenge not only for establishing new standards
for security relations between former enemies but also for enhanced
international co-operation.
IV. Co-operation between WEU member countries
The implementation of the open skies regime requires considerable
financial means. To take only two examples: according to United States
sources, the equipment of the first United States aircraft with the
necessary sensors for the mission would cost $18 million to
$20 million. Each United States flights would cost approximately
$200 000. The German defence budget for the financial year 1993 |
provides DM 24 million, for 1994 approximately DM 37 million, for 1995
approximately DM 40 million and for 1996 approximately DM 10 million,
for aircraft alterations and for meeting equipment and staff
requirements for the implementation of the treaty.
It is not so much the procurement of aircraft for aerial
observation purposes that has to be taken into account, since, in most
countries, appropriate types of aircraft are already available, it is
rather the investment necessary for sensors, the cost of films and
their analysis and running costs. This is why almost no states will in
the long run be able to carry out observation flights by means of their
own aircraft. The treaty offers the following cost-sharing
possibilities:
co-operation by groups of states;
participation in the observation flights of another state party,
i.e. by means of multinational teams of observers;
chartering observation aircraft from another state party;
purchasing a copy of the film obtained.
These possibilities of lowering costs allow all states parties to
carry out their own aerial observations or use the results obtained by
another state14.
After the decision taken by Western European Union member countries
to form a "group of states parties in accordance with Article III,
Section II, paragraph 2 of the treaty (see paragraph 15), it was
necessary to work out the objectives, consequences and ways and means
of such WEU co-operation. Two new WEU working groups have been created:
one on verification in 1991, one on open skies in 199215.
After the mandate addressed to the WEU expert groups by the
declaration of Vianden on 27th June 199116 to explore the possibilities
of practical co-operation regarding the implementation of the Open
Skies Treaty, WEU ministers agreed according their Petersberg
declaration of 19th June 199217:
"...in principle to a feasibility study to identify the
most cost-effective means of implementing the Open |
Skies Treaty co-operatively among member states. They
tasked the group of experts to agree assumptions for
the study, to identify the options which merit further
study and to consider the question of costs, with a
view to taking a decision at their next ordinary
meeting to proceed with the study, stressed the
readiness of WEU to co-operate with third parties at a
later stage, and in this context welcomed the contacts
which had taken place with other European allies, as
well as with the Russian Federation. They agreed that
experts should investigate the possibilities for
intensified co-operation with the Russian Federation,
which could include a joint feasibility study and/or a
trial overflight."
According to the Secretary-General's information letter of
1st July 199218:
"The Expert Group on the verification of arms control
agreements held several working meetings on the
implementation of the Open Skies Treaty. On 26th and
27th March, a WEU fact-finding mission visited Moscow
to examine the possibility of using a single type of
observation aircraft for open skies, as proposed by
France. When, in three years' time, the treaty is
implemented in full, there will be a need to use
specially equipped aircraft. A fleet of between five
and eight aircraft should be sufficient for the 200
observation flights planned each year. A solution
consisting of developing a single type observation
aircraft which could also be used for CSCE transport
missions might be adopted, and would offer major
advantages in terms of cost-effectiveness. The Russians
taking part in the WEU mission suggested two types of
aircraft which might be suitable. All the practical
arrangements for technical co-operation were considered
during the discussions in order to provide experts with
the necessary information for subsequent feasibility
studies on the pooling of aircraft and/or sensors.
At an informal meeting in Vienna on 29th April of heads
of delegation, these explanatory talks on co-operation |
with Russia were continued and other options were
discussed, such as a common WEU pool with national
aircraft being used in rotation. Then, on 13th May,
experts met in London at the WEU Secretariat to hear a
presentation on the German national study and to
prepare the activity report for ministers."
In their Rome communique of 20th November 199219:
"Ministers reiterated their commitment to the early
entry into force of the Open Skies Treaty. They took
note of the progress report prepared by experts and
tasked them to continue the search for cost-effective
solutions for implementating the Open Skies Treaty,
including the possibilities for establishing a WEU
pool. Ministers stressed the readiness of WEU to co-
operate with third parties and welcomed the intention
of the presidency to inform them of the state of play
of WEU's work."
The Secretary-General's information letter of 24th November 199220
specified that:
"The Expert Group on the verification of arms control
agreements held several working meetings on the
implementation of the Open Skies Treaty (6th July,
25th September and 27th October). Since the Ministerial
Council had given its agreement in principle on
19th June 1992 for a feasibility study to be carried
out to determine the most cost-effective means of
implementing the Open Skies Treaty within the framework
of co-operation between the WEU member states, the
experts discussed the assumptions on which the study
should be based, the definition of options meriting
further study and considered the study's likely costs
and the way in which it might be funded."
So far, the last official information on the subject is contained
in the second part at the thirty-eighth annual report of the Council to
the Assembly which states that:
"The Open Skies Experts Group had, by the end of the
year, passed the stage of preparing a feasibility
study. Its activities were now centred on the
establishment of an aircraft pool based on the number |
of aircraft actually available."21
Your rapporteur is grateful for certain additional information he
was able to obtain from the Secretary-General and a number of the WEU
member countries concerned.
It follows from this additional information, that the idea of
elaborating a single joint feasibility study has been given up since it
appeared impossible to harmonise the various interests and proposals of
member countries.
The discussions are now concentrated mainly on ways and means of
establishing a fleet of WEU aircraft (WEU Pool) to which each state
might assign one or more aircraft equipped with appropriate sensors.
The treaty provides for two stages of implementation. In the first
stage, the parties will use available aircraft and sensors that will
not have to meet all the criteria laid down in the treaty. However,
studies concerning co-operation in the framework of the WEU relate
mainly to the second stage of implementation, which would start in
1997.
Four options have been selected from a series of proposals
concerning the formation of the fleet:
France: a totally integrated WEU fleet (on the lines of
AWACS, using a single type of aircraft);
Germany: a fleet of national aircraft that can be made
available to the WEU fleet;
United Kingdom: fleets of national aircraft assigned in turn to
the WEU fleet;
Benelux: national C-130 aircraft using a jointly-procured pod
of sensors.
These options would require more detailed study. In particular, the
question of management and financing required close examination. A
collective WEU study should therefore be conducted for this purpose.
The report submitted to the ministers at their meeting on
20th November 1992 contained the following observations and
recommendations:
the mandate for the study was approved;
at the stage reached at that time, none of the four options
could be rejected; all were to be studied in greated
detail;
a ministerial decision on carrying out a single study was not |
expedient at this stage; conversely, the report asked
the Council to approve a six-month explanatory stage
during which identical criteria, parameters and
structures would be worked out for conducting, in a
national framework, four studies on the various
options, so as to be able to make a comparative
estimate and take an appropriate decision.
At their meeting at the beginning of January 1993, the WEU experts
terminated their discussion of the WEU study which, on the whole, was
neither fruitful nor progressive and concentrated their work on a
pragmatic initiative in order to achieve rapid results that were as
concrete as possible. This new step was based on the principle that
conducting the four feasibility studies so far envisaged would take up
too much time and their results would probably be overtaken by events
in the various countries. It emerged from relevant declarations made by
member countries that the WEU fleet would initially be composed of a
German Tupolev-154, a British Andover (until 1995) and national C-130s
equipped with the Benelux sensor pod. Consequently, two working
documents were to be devoted to the organisational and financial
aspects of joint facilities of this type.
The United Kingdom and France have assumed responsibility for
preparing the working document on the organisation of the fleet,
Benelux the study of the special case of the C-130 equipped with a pod
and Germany the financial aspects. The result of these studies was
endorsed by the Open Skies Working Group on 16th April 1993 and will be
submitted to the ministers for approval at the next meeting of the
Council of Ministers on 19th May. This document consists of definitions
and various chapters on training, organisation and the operation of the
fleet.
All member countries agree that the effective implementation of the
treaty should not be delayed until the aircraft pool is brought into
service but that it should be used from ther very start after the |
treaty come into force.
It appears from the expert studies that a majority of member
countries are inclined to organise the WEU pool on the basis of the
Benelux option, using Hercules C-13022 aircraft equipped with a special
pod. C-130s are used in the airforces of most NATO member countries
with the exception of Germany.
The Belgian airforce, for instance, is prepared to equip its C-130
Hercules with a pod developped by Lockheed's Airlift Derivatives
Programs Division, called SAMSON (Special Avionics Missions Strap-On
Now). This system is described by Lockheed as a high-technology
surveillance system "housed in a pod beneath the (C-130) aircraft's
wing in place of an external fuel tank, it can installed in less than
six hours with no permanent modifications to the aircraft."
Normally, the C-130 is already designed to receive control cables
allowing instruments in the pod to be linked to the operators' control
panels in the airframe. The panels and the seats for inspectors are
installed on loading pallets in the cargo compartment of the airframe.
The various elements composing the system can thus be installed or
removed relatively quickly. As the C-130 requires no structural
changes, the system can be transferred from one aircraft to another
and thus be available for several successive operators.
This system, therefore seems a practical, economical solution but
is nevertheless not without drawbacks. In the event of the sensors not
working properly during an observation flight, it would be impossible
for the operators to repair them. For instance, the reels of film could
not be replaced when they run out. So far, tests have been carried out
only with sensors of American origin that do not corresponds to the
treaty limitations. Thus, it would also have to be checked whether if
all types of sensors allowed by the treaty can be properly installed in
the pod. This is the case of the SAR, for instance which sports a
fairly large antenna. Finally, doubts have been expressed about the |
possibility of a C-130 aircraft being authorised to overfly the
territory of the former Soviet Union for reasons connected with air
control and ground support, etc. However this may be, this system is
certainly a simple, economical solution.
So far however, countries which have C-130s are not yet unanimous
about the conditions for a joint use of pods. The following questions
remain to be settled:
what type of sensor will be installed in the pod?
how many pods should be procured?
how many consoles should be procured to ensure that the sensors
work?
who will share the cost of procurement and operation in the
long run and what will be the breakdown of costs?
It is mainly on the last point that a decision still has to be taken,
and also the question of whether all countries with C-130s will
participate or not in solving the above mentioned problem.
Other member countries, in particular Germany, France and the
United Kingdom, are studying alternative solutions regarding aircraft
and sensors. Whereas the United Kingdom favours the Andover aircraft,
Germany was the only member country presenting a comprehensive national
study containing proposals for using a Tupolev 15423, internal
installed sensors and a number of operating arrangements.
The German solution, which is actually rather isolated within the
WEU group of state parties, might be rather more expensive than the
Pod-solution. It has, however, according to its advocates, a number of
advantages, such as:
facilitating sensor installations and supervising, during
observation flights, that all sensors are working
properly;
offering possibilities for European industry to provide the
necessary sensor technology,
improved sensors output, and
facilitating eventual co-operation with the Russian Federation.
The United States seems to favour using an adapted C-135 aircraft
with internal installed sensor, whereas Canada seems to advocate the C-
130 Pod solution. Within a minority of member country, in particular in |
Germany, there is sound concern that the outcome might be that the pool
envisaged between WEU member countries might finally be reduced to C-
130 Hercules aircraft equipped with a pod.
V. Prospects of WEU co-operation with the Russian Federation
After the first WEU fact-finding mission in Moscow at the end of
March 1992, the Russian representatives insisted, at an informal
meeting in Vienna on 29th April 1992, on their "taxi-option" which
means that an important part of the flights over the Russian territory
should be conducted by Tu-154 M aircraft provided by the Russian
Federation. This is allowed by the treaty as an exception to the
general rule according to which flights are conducted in principle by
aircraft of the observing party.
When the WEU Ministerial Council approves the management rules of
the WEU pool, it is planned to contact the Russian Federation again in
order to start official negotiations for elaborating arrangements
allowing the Russian side to co-operate with the WEU group. Co-
operation to be arranged with Russia will have to relate to the
management of the pool and flight quotas. This should also allow the
question of "taxi-option" to be settled in view of the fact that
setting up a joint fleet with the Russian Federation depends on the
possibility of using all the aircraft in it, including, therefore,
those of WEU, to overfly Russia.
WEU may therefore invite the Russian to make one or more of their
aircraft available to the joint fleet. This aircraft will thus be in
competition with the other aircraft in the pool. It is an open question
whether the Russians will agree to such a solution or whether they will
insist on guarantees that their aircraft really will be used. It is
therefore to be foreseen, that the co-operation envisaged with the
Russia will be preceeded by difficult negotiations.
To that are to be added a number of technical problems, too. |
Greater co-operation with Russia means using common standards for the
equipment to be used (e.g. sensitivity of the film). However, western
and former Warsaw Pact equipment are notoriously incompatible. These
matters are now being discussed in the Open Skies Consultative
Commission and, for the time being, each party is clinging to its own
standard.
Furthermore, limits on exports of products and technology in the
framework of the Cocom rules seem to have put a subsequent soft pedal
on the extent of the co-operation envisaged. Some authorities believe
the Cocom rules even place a physical limit on the development of co-
operation with the Russian Federation.
Furthermore, the Cocom list should have been revised to make it
less discriminatory against Russia at the end of 1992, but this was not
done.
On the other hand, it has been said that problems with the Cocom
list will not be very likely since the open skies technical standards
for sensors are so low that Western partners were obliged to downgrade
their technical means, in particular in the radar areas. Furthermore,
all technical sensors means provided by the treaty have to be
commercially available to all state parties. A Cocom problem might
arise in a later stage, when additional categories and improvements of
sensors are introduced in the Open Skies Consultative Commission.
Finally, one should recall that the treaty refers several times to
the rules established by the International Civil Aviations Organisation
(ICAO); as a consequence Belarus, which forms with Russia a group of
states party within the open sky regime, should join ICAO, of which it
is not yet a member.
A fruitful outcome of the efforts to create conditions for
satisfactory co-operation between Western European Union and the
Russian Federation is no doubt in the interest of all who wish the
implementation of the Open Skies Treaty to be successful. Nevertheless,
co-operation with the Russian Federation should not be considered |
exclusive.
There are good reasons for developing close co-operation with the
other successor states of the Soviet Union, in particular with Ukraine,
and for encouraging all the member states of the CIS (Community of the
Independent States) to sign the treaty. It appears from the Petersberg
Declaration that WEU Ministers envisaged consultations with the eight
Central and Eastern European countries regarding the Open Skies Treaty
too. But it seems that these discussions have not been very fundamental
so far. It is therefore important that these talks should be
intensified.
VI. Imagery evaluation - a role for the WEU Satellite Centre in Torrejon?
Whereas each state party has the right to request and receive the
raw data collected by sensors during an observation flight, it is up to
each state party to use proper means of image interpretation and
evaluation. It does not seem that WEU member countries have discussed
in depth the possibility of using the WEU Satellite Centre for such
imagery interpretation. It would therefore be useful for the Council to
pay more attention to this problem.
A number of questions have to be studied carefully in this context:
have member countries any interest in giving a mandate to the
Satellite Centre for open skies imagery interpretation?
when the centre is fully operational and executing its
interpretation duties drawn from the various satellites
and space organisations with which it is to work on
contractual basis, will it still have enough capacities
to work for open skies purposes?
who will be responsabible and what will be the criteria for
deciding the kind of open skies imagery which should be
submitted for interpetation by the Torrejon Centre?
who will have access to the results obtained by the centre?
So far experts of Greece, associate members and observer states (with
the exception of Iceland) are participating in the work of the WEU open |
skies group, but their status is not clearly defined. In particular, it
is not clear whether these countries have already officially joined the
WEU group of states party established by the Vienna declaration.
So far Greece and associate members are not involved in the WEU
space activities. Before the WEU Satellite Centre is given
responsibility for imagery interpretation in the context of the Open
Skies Treaty, the procedure for these countries to participate should
be agreed.
So far the centre has eight double-screen, high-definition image
processing works stations in Torrejon. They will be in an experimental
phase until 1995. As Mr. van Eekelen, Secretary-General of WEU, pointed
out at the inauguration of the WEU Satellite Centre on 28th April 1993:
"in its initial experimental phase, the centre will
train analysts in the interpretation of the satellite
imagery. This will be done using data available from
commercial sources such as SPOT, LANDSAT and ERS. The
aim will be to achieve a certain amount of integration
by pooling knowledge and standardising working
procedures. The work of the centre will be assessed
towards the end of the three-year period and its future
development then reviewed."
Subsequently, the centre could become more operational particularly
for crisis monitoring and verification by using data from satellites
with better resolution such as Helios - due to be launched in 1994. In
this context, a memorandum of understanding has been drawn up under
which the Helios partners (France, Italy and Spain) would make data
available to the WEU Satellite Centre. This data could then be analysed
by the image-interpreters trained in the centre, and the results passed
back to national capitals. In its ultimate phase, the centre could be
responsible for operating WEU's autonomous satellite observation
capability, currently the subject of medium- and long-term studies".
Thus, the centre has not so far obtained any mandate in connection |
with the Open Skies Treaty. Nevertheless, it would be very regrettable
if the capabilities of the centre could not be used also for the
interpretation of open skies observation imagery. Since the centre is
still in its experimental phase, it would be crucial for WEU member
countries to elaborate as quickly as possible a concept enabling the
centre to act also as an open skies imagery interpretation body. As a
first step, the Council should ask the centre to present a study in
which it would explain whether its present capabilities will be
sufficient to conduct open skies image interpretation as a
supplementary task.
Thanks to a first contact with the director of the WEU Satellite
Centre, the latter has kindly transmitted some first considerations in
this respect which are reproduced as follows:
"The centre will have the capability to accept
information from a wide variety of sources. All the
information will be loaded into the centre's computer
database in a standard form. In addition to the scenes
from a number of different satellites, it will be
possible to use imagery from airborne systems, data
from normal paper maps, data from digital terrain
models and images which are received as high quality
photos.
High quality photos are converted to computer format
using a high resolution laser scanner. Paper maps can
also be scanned or the data transferred using a
"digitising tablet". The digital terrain models are in
various forms. Products which give terrain elevation
information will be the first which are used. Where the
full digital feature models (i.e. digital maps) exist,
they have many advantages over paper maps and will be
used by the centre. The method of using airborne
imagery (optical, infra-red or radar) will depend on
actual sensors used. Arrangements could be made to
accept the aircraft tapes. in any event, selected
images can be used via the scanner.
Geographical linkage
A major feature of the facilities of the centre is that |
all the information mentioned above can be directly
compared. Each piece of information can be transformed,
scaled, rotated and locked to a geographical reference.
Direct comparisons and output which mix information
from a number of sources is then possible.
Requirement
Open skies missions are expensive, subject to quotas
and can be difficult to mount. While the data which can
be collected is more detailed than that which can
currently be obtained from the satellite sources
available to the WEUSC, any site being considered for
an open skies mission should first be surveyed from
space. Such a task would enable a final decision to be
made as to whether an open skies mission is necessary.
The survey from space would also provide valuable
material for planning the open skies mission if it is
required.
Mission planning
Open skies misions need considerable planning to obtain
the best possibilities of their effectiveness taking
into account political, practical and technical
limitations. Material obtained from a prior space
survey can be used to plan aircraft approach and fly
pass routes taking into account the details of the
sites, the particular locations of interest, preferred
look angles and directions for the sensors and the
surrounding terrain features.
Data analysis
The full analysis of the data collected during an open
skies mission could be a long and complex task. The
data collected must be compared with many other sources
of information so that the differences can be
identified between what can be seen from the mission
imagery and what is already known or expected about the
sites. It is these differences which will form the main
conclusion of the mission. Effective data analysis
therefore requires the availability of facilities and
databases similar to those which will be available in
the WEUSC.
Distribution of data
Data collected during open skies missions will be the
product of a costly and complex collection process. |
Full use should be made of any such data collected.
Even if the WEUSC is not directly involved with the
planning or analysis of a particular open skies
mission, a copy of all data collected from open skies
missions should, if possible, be provided to the WEUSC.
This data would then be available for use in any
subsequent tasking of the WEUSC by the WEU bodies or
member nations."
VII. Future prospects for the further development
of the open skies regime
The Open Skies Treaty has to be considered as a starting point of
an evolutionary process for further confidence- and security-building
measures and not as the culmination of such a development. The preamble
of the treaty indicates areas in which aerial observation could be of
help in strengthening peace, stability and co-operative security.
It thus notes in particular the possibility of employing such a
regime to improve openness and transparency, to facilitate the
monitoring of compliance with existing or future arms control
agreements and to strengthen the capacity for conflict prevention and
crisis management in the framework of the Conference on Security and
Co-operation in Europe and in other relevant international
institutions, but also the possible extention of the open skies regime
into additional fields such as the protection of the environment.
It is obvious that any further thoughts along these lines first
depend on the ratification, full implementation and satisfactory
functioning of the present treaty. Interest in accelerating the
implementation process and in joining the Open Skies Treaty might be
enhanced by comparing it with existing disarmament and arms control
agreements and confidence- and security-building measures in the
framework of the CSCE and their verification means24.
It appears from this synopsis that the open skies regime could
serve or developed as a useful additional verification means for a |
number of agreements such as the Nuclear Non proliferation Treaty, the
INF Treaty and the START I and II Treaties; (information provided by
sensors during observation overflight could complete information gained
from on-site inspections, national technical means and data exchanges
agreed in the abovementioned treaties. In future, the open skies regime
could even serve for verifying unilateral renunciation of tactical
nuclear weapons, an area where no systematic verification is possible.
The possibilities of using the open skies observation means for
verification tasks in the framework of the CFE Treaty has already been
mentioned in Chapter III25. In NATO, a special verification co-
ordinating committee was created in order to monitor the implementation
of the CFE Treaty and also the Open Skies Treaty. Whereas so far the
interest of the NATO verification co-ordinating committee was
concentrated on the CFE Treaty, there seems now to be some interest in
debating the question of whether the Open Skies Treaty should serve as
the aerial inspection means for the CFE Treaty or whether the CFE
Treaty should work out its own aerial inspection procedure. The first
solution would have the advantage of avoiding new financial burdens,
but so far no decisions have been taken.
Taking into account the improved relationships between all partners
of the CFE Treaty and other arms control agreements as well as between
participants in the CSCE process, all faced with budgetary problems,
the interest in expensive verification, inspection and observation
procedures will probably decrease. The use of open skies observation
means for verifying the CFE Treaty might therefore offer a reasonable
solution.
If such a way were choosen, the purpose would be to make the open
skies regime more intrusive by improving the performances of the
sensors, increasing their resolution and authorising overflying at
lower altitudes than those now authorised. All this, plus an increase |
in overflight quotas, would allow more detailed information to be
obtained on the basis of which TLE might be accurately identified. This
special regime would be limited to the ATTU area and be the subject of
a specific protocol added to the original treaty.
Such a solution would make verification of the CFE Treaty more
effective and probably enable a number of ground inspections to be
eliminated. Conversely, it would mean some reduction in the scope of
the Open Skies Treaty. It may, moreover, be wondered whether some
participating states would be prepared to authorise such an intrusive
regime when they have not done so before.
The second possible option would be the conclusion of the aerial
verification protocol initially intended for the CFE Treaty. This
itself might be based on the Open Skies regime by incorporating in it
the modifications that was already referred to above and which would be
specific to it. An ad hoc Open Skies regime would thus be set up
without changing anything at all in the original Open Skies Treaty.
There too the consensus problem arise. Moreover, such a regime
duplicate the one set up by the Open Skies Treaty. In fact, these two
options are equivalent. It would merely be a question of finding the
most suitable juridical form.
The third possible option is, on the contrary much less binding. It
would mean establishing a link, no longer juridical but political,
between the two regimes, in the CSCE. This task would be a matter for
the Conflict Prevention Centre in particular. The latter is already in
close touch with the Open Skies Consultative Commission and with the
Joint Consultative Group, a consultative body set up to apply the CFE
Treaty26. It would then perhaps be a matter of the two bodies
exchanging information through the Conflict Prevention Centre. These
exchanges would hence be made official. Whatever the option chosen, it
will have to be negotiated among all the parties involved. However, |
there would then be a risk of reaching compromising solutions that
would reduce the effectiveness of the link between CFE and Open Skies
that it would thus be possible to establish.
Another, more internal option, i.e. a matter for each Government,
would be establish link between the two "administrative" type regime.
An elaborate system of information and command, specific to each
national administration, would then have to be set up to manage
inspection operations and the exchange of data, as well as the
optimisation of inspection programmes. This would allow the integration
and co-ordination of the various aspect of the verification of arms
control agreement depending on "national technical means", open skies
flights, on-site inspections and those provided for in the various
confidence-building measures practised. Such an option is certainly the
most pragmatic solution. It could just as well be applied in the
context of a group of states parties such as WEU. To a certain extent,
it resembles the proposal considered on several occasions by the WEU
Assembly and aimed at creating a European verification centre whose
nucleus should be WEU27.
The Convention on chemical weapons, signed in Paris on 13th January
1993, includes one of the most extensive intrusive verification regimes
ever contained in an arms control agreement. It might constitute
another area of application for open skies flights. In that case, too,
open skies flights would mainly be complementary and might prove
particularly useful in the event of a crisis concerning chemical
products. Sensors already provided for in the treaty allow information
to be obtained about plants producing or stockpiling chemical products.
It would suffise to add an air sampling device to those sensors in
order to carry out analyses of the air.
A more sensitive area is the question to what extent the open skies
regime might serve for conflict prevention and crisis management, in
the framework of the CSCE process. The Open Skies Consultative |
Commission would act here mainly on behalf of the competent CSCE
institutions and whether the open skies observation means can be used
in such cases, will depend on their ability to prevent conflicts and
manage crisis. One should take into account that in a concrete crisis
situation any state party concerned may use its right to withdraw from
the Open Skies Treaty (Article XV). It is therefore crucial, first and
foremost, for the as yet insufficient capabilities of the CSCE for
conflict prevention and crisis management to be improved and completed.
Carrying out crisis management tasks in the open skies framework
would mean increasing the resolution of the sensors. In order to
respond to the emergence of tense situations in the most flexible
manner, at the negotiations, consideration was given to the possibility
of resorting to a special one- or two-flight quota. This proposal,
which was backed by France, is known as the "joker". Another proposal
sought to assign a quota of overflights to the Conflict Prevention
Centre which would be carried out on its own behalf in the event of
crises. These proposals were not adopted at the negotiations.
The emergence of ethnic conflicts, as is now the case in former
Yugoslavia and the increase in the number of areas of tension are
nevertheless making political leaders wish to have the widest possible
range of means for averting conflicts that may break out. Hence,
whatever the option envisaged, it is quite clear from what has been
said above that the Open Skies Treaty has considerable development
potential.
Extending the open skies regime to protection of the environment is
considered in the text of the treaty itself. This possibility was
indeed considered when the negotiations were resumed in Vienna in
January 1992, on the proposal of the Russian Delegation. It is now
being discussed in the Consultative Commission which wants a serious
study to be made of the possibilities of extending the open skies |
regime to this area. With this in mind, a seminar on the environment
was held in Vienna in December 1992 under the auspices of the CSCE and
the Open Skies Consultative Commission. However, for the time being,
the project does not seem to have gone beyond the stage of reflection.
The open skies regime could be a useful tool for developing the crisis
management role of the CSCE, in particular through the Vienna Conflict
Prevention Centre.
One may therefore consider observation flights being used, for
instance, to detect cases of atmospheric pollution and other damage to
the environment or to measure radioactivity due to accidents in nuclear
reactors. They may also be used to monitor respect for atmospheric
pollution commitments or to identify offenders. Alongside the open
skies regime, observation aircraft might be used for the purposes of
scientific or practical co-operation, for instance to study the subsoil
or water pollution. For that purpose, supplementary agreements would
have to be concluded providing inter alia for the introduction of
sensors specially designed to sample the air and, if appropriate,
procedure to be followed in case of suspicion 28.
The provisions relating to sensors would, therefore, require major
changes. For instance, these might include air samplers, allowing
radioactivity and chemical pollution to be measured, multispectral
sensors (multifrenquency infrared) and radars with longer wave-lengths
allowing information to be obtained concerning humidity or the
composition of the soil.
VIII. Conclusions
The importance of the Open Skies Treaty resides first and foremost
in the achievement of a new understanding of security based on openness
and transparency in military matters instead of secrecy. This new kind
of concrete confidence- and security-building measure based on the
spirit initiated and developed in the framework of the CSCE can be
successful only if all states parties are prepared to co-operate in |
order to ensure the full implementation of the treaty.
Furthermore, it is crucial for all members of the Community of
Independent States (CIS) to accede to the treaty and no member country
of the CSCE should be excluded. A successful solution of outstanding
problems of technical co-operation and cost-sharing will be most
important for promoting interest among other countries of the world and
inciting them to join the regime or to use it as a model for other
world regions.
This is the first time that WEU member countries have decided to
act as group of state parties regarding the practical and technical
implementation of a treaty. This a very positive signal and should be
followed in the framework of future international agreements wherever
this seems appropriate. In a final stage, WEU co-operation should reach
a level at which it may be deemed to be a single state party following
the Benelux example.
At present, however, we are still far from such a goal. The
difficulties encountered by the WEU expert group in finding an
appropriate solution for a WEU aircraft pool for open skies purposes is
a new example of how painful the task of harmonising national interests
still is, even between close allies. It is obvious that, even after the
Council has reached a decision on the WEU aircraft pool, many questions
will remain unsolved and the WEU expert group will still have its work
cut out if it is to elucidate all the consequences of WEU's Vienna
decisions to act as a group of states parties.
Of the remaining questions, only two might be mentioned in
particular: first the status of associate members of WEU and observers
in this group and, second if and to what extent the Torrejon Satellite
Centre will be mandated by the Council to handle the interpretation of
information obtained from the open skies sensors.
APPENDIX I
The CSCE Declaration on the Open Skies Treaty |
Helsinki, 24th March 1992
The Foreign Ministers of the participating States of the Conference
on Security and Co-operation in Europe on the occasion of the signature
of the Treaty on Open Skies have issued the following declaration:
Welcoming the signing of the treaty on open skies regime for the
security of states participating in the CSCE process,
Assessing the treaty as an important element in the process of
enhancing security and confidence between members of the international
community,
Reiterating the importance of the principle of equal security for all
their countries,
Noting the interest expressed by a number of states not full
participants in the negotiations, and believing that their adherence to
the treaty as well as signature by all the newly independent states, as
mentioned in Article XVII of the treaty, would enhance the
effectiveness of the open skies regime,
1. Recognise the significant contribution of the open skies
negotiations made by a number of participants in the CSCE who are not
original signatories to the Treaty on Open Skies,
2. Recognise also that these states may participate, on the basis of
the active and passive quotas they would hold as state parties, in the
implementation of the treaty and that they may take part in discussions
regarding practical arrangements for the regime which will continue in
Vienna within the framework of the Open Skies Consultative Commission
during the period of provisional application,
3. Acknowledge the interest of the states which are participants in
the CSCE but not original signatories to the Treaty on Open Skies in
information obtained through open skies observation flights,
4. Welcome the interest shown by states which are participants in the
CSCE but not original signatories to the Treaty on Open Skies to accede
to it as provided for by Article XVII of the treaty,
5. Call upon all parties of the treaty to allow the accession of such
interested states as soon as possible and to act, in all matters |
related to it, in the spirit of co-operation which the treaty commands.
APPENDIX II
Quotas and maximum flight distances
* *
* Allocation * First distribution of year 1
* *
* of
Country * passive * *
* flight * Passive * Active
* quotas * quotas * quotas
* * *
*
Germany * 12 5 4
United States * 42 4 8.5
Russia/Belarus * 42 28 26
Benelux * 6 2 2
Bulgaria * 4 3 3
Canada * 12 2 4.5
Denmark * 6 2 2
Spain * 4 0 1
France * 12 3 4
United Kingdom/Ireland * 12 3 4
Greece * 4 3 2
Hungary * 4 3 2
Iceland * 4 0 0
Italy * 12 3 3.5
Norway * 7 2 3
Poland * 6 5 3
Portugal * 2 0 0
Romania * 6 4 4
Czechoslovakia * 4 3 2
Turkey * 12 5 4.5
Ukraine * 12 9 6
Source: Annex A, Sections I and II of the treaty (extracts)
Section II
First distribution of active quotas
for observation flights
1. The first distribution of active quotas pursuant to Article III,
Section I, paragraph 6 of the treaty shall be such that each state
party shall be obliged to accept over its territory a number of
observation flights no greater than 75%, rounded down to the nearest
whole number, of the individual passive quota allocated as set forth in
Section I, paragraph 1 of this annex. On this basis, and for those
states parties which have conducted negotiations in the framework of
the Open Skies conference in Vienna, the first distribution in respect
of each other shall be valid from the date of entry into force of the
treaty until 31st December following the year during which the treaty
has entered into force and shall be effective only for those states |
parties having ratified the treaty. This first distribution is set
forth as follows:
The Federal Republic of Germany shall have the right to conduct
three observation flights over the territory of the Republic of Belarus
and the Russian Federation group of states parties, and one observation
flight over the territory of Ukraine;
The United States of America shall have the right to conduct eight
observation flights over the territory of the Republic of Belarus and
the Russian Federation group of states parties, and one observation
flight, shared with Canada, over the territory of Ukraine;
The Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation group of states
parties shall have the right to conduct two observation flights over
the territory of Benelux, as referred to in Article XIV of the treaty,
two observation flights over the territory of Canada, two observation
flights over the territory of the Kingdom of Denmark, three observation
flights over the territory of the French Republic, three observation
flights over the territory of the Federal Republic of Germany, one
observation flight over the territory of the Hellenic Republic, two
observation flights over the territory of the Italian Republic, two
observation flights over the territory of the the Kingdom of Norway,
two observation flights over the territory of the Republic of Turkey,
three observation flights over the territory of the United Kingdom of
Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and four observation flights over
the territory of the United States of America;
The Kingdom of Belgium, the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg and the
Kingdom of the Netherlands, referred to as the Benelux, shall have the
right to conduct one observation flight over the territory of the
Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation group of states parties,
and one observation flight over the territory of the Republic of
Poland;
The Republic of Bulgaria shall have the right to conduct one
observation flight over the territory of the Hellenic Republic, one |
observation flight over the territory of the Italian Republic, and one
observation flight over the territory of the Republic of Turkey;
Canada shall have the right to conduct two observation flights over
the territory of the Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation
group of states parties, one observation flight over the territory of
the Czech and Slovak Federal Republic, one observation flight over the
territory of the Republic of Poland, and one observation flight, shared
with the United States of America, over the territory of Ukraine;
The Kingdom of Denmark shall have the right to conduct one
observation flight over the territory of the Republic of Belarus and
the Russian Federation group of states parties, and one observation
flight over the territory of the Republic of Poland;
The Kingdom of Spain shall have the right to conduct three
observation flights over the territory of the Czech and Slovak Federal
Republic;
The French Republic shall have the right to conduct three
observation flights over the territory of the Republic of Belarus and
the Russian Federation group of states parties, and one observation
flight over the territory of Romania;
The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland shall have
the right to conduct three observation flights over the territory of
the Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation group of states
parties, and one observation flight over the territory of Ukraine;
The Hellenic Republic shall have the right to conduct one
observation flight over the territory of the Republic of Bulgaria, and
one observation flight over the territory of Romania;
The Republic of Hungary shall have the right to conduct one
observation flight over the territory of Romania, and one observation
flight over the territory of Ukraine;
The Italian Republic shall have the right to conduct two
observation flights over the territory of the Republic of Belarus and
the Russian Federation group of states parties, one observation flight |
over the territory of the Republic of Hungary, and one observation
flight, shared with the Republic of Turkey, over the territory of
Ukraine;
The Kingdom of Norway shall have the right to conduct two
observation flights over the territory of the Republic of Belarus and
the Russian Federation group of states parties and one observation
flight over the territory of the Republic of Poland;
The Republic of Poland shall have the right to conduct one
observation flight over the territory of the Federal Republic of
Germany, one observation flight over the territory of the Republic of
Belarus and the Russian Federation group of states parties, and one
observation flight over the territory of Ukraine;
Romania shall have the right to conduct one observation flight over
the territory of the Republic of Bulgaria, one observation flight over
the territory of the Hellenic Republic, one observation flight over the
territory of the Republic of Hungary, and one observation flight over
the territory of Ukraine;
The Czech and Slovak Federal Republic shall have the right to
conduct one observation flight over the territory of the Federal
Republic of Germany, and one observation flight over the territory of
Ukraine;
The Republic of Turkey shall have the right to conduct two
observation flights over the territory of the Republic of Belarus and
the Russian Federation group of states parties, one observation flight
over the territory of the Republic of Bulgaria and two observation
flights, one of which is shared with the Italian Republic, over the
territory of Ukraine;
Ukraine shall have the right to conduct one observation flight over
the territory of the Czech and Slovak Federal Republic, one observation
flight over the territory of the Republic of Hungary, one observation
flight over the territory of the Republic of Poland, one observation
flight over the territory of Romania, and two observation flights over
the territory of the Republic of Turkey. |
2. Following this first distribution and until the date of the full
implementation of the treaty specified in Article XVIII to that effect
for the use of active quotas, annual distributions shall be based on
the 75% rule established in paragraph 1 of this section in relation to
the allocation of individual passive quotas.
3. From the date of full implementation of the treaty each state
party shall accept during subsequent distributions of active quotas
over its territory, if so requested, a number of observation flights up
to the full amount of its individual passive quota. Whenever possible
or requested and unless otherwise agreed, those distributions shall be
based on a proportionate increase of the active quotas distributed in
the first distribution.
4. In the event that an additional state ratifies or accedes to the
treaty in accordance with Article XVII, the distribution of active
quotas to such state shall be considered during the regular session of
the Open Skies Consultative Commission following the date of the
deposit of its instrument of ratification or accession, subject to the
following provisions:
(a) the ratifying or acceding state shall have the right to
request observation flights over the territories of
states parties within the passive quota allocated to
that state in accordance with the provisions of Section
I, paragraph 3 of this annex, and within the passive
quotas of the states parties requested for observation
flights, unless otherwise agreed by the states parties
involved; and
(b) all states parties shall have at the same time the right to
request observation flights over the territory of that
signing or acceding state within their active quotas
and within the passive quotas allocated to that state.
Section III
Maximum flight distances
of observation flights
The maximum flight distances of observation flights over the |
territories of observed parties commencing from each Open Skies
airfield are as follows:
kilometres
The Federal Republic of Germany
Wunstorf 1 200
Landsberg-Lech 1 200
The United States of America
Washington-Dulles 4 900
Travis AFB 4 000
Elmendorf AFB 3 000
Lincoln-Municipal 4 800
The Republic of Belarus and the
Russian Federation group of states parties
Kubinka 5 000
Ulan Ude 5 000
Vorkuta 6 500
Magadan 6 500
Benelux
Zaventem/Melsbroek 945
The Republic of Bulgaria
Sofia 660
Burgas 660
Canada
Ottawa 5 000
Iqaluit 6 000
Yellowknife 5 000
The Kingdom of Denmark
Metropolitan 800
Faroe Islands 250
Greenland 5 600
The Kingdom of Spain
Getafe 1 300
Gando 750
Valencia 1 300
Valladolid 1 300
Moron 1 300
The French Republic
Orleans-Bricy 1 400
Nice-Cote d'Azur 800
Toulouse-Blagnac 700
The United Kingdom of Great Britain and
Northern Ireland
Brize Norton 1 150
Scampton 1 150
Leuchars 1 150
with Scilly Islands 1 500
with Shetland Islands 1 500
The Hellenic Republic
Thessaloniki 900
Elefsis 900
with Crete, Karpathos,
Rhodes, Kos Islands 1 100
The Republic of Hungary
Budapest-Ferihegy 860
The Republic of Iceland 1 500
The Italian Republic
Milano-Malpensa 1 130
Palermo-Punta Raisi 1 400
The Kingdom of Norway
Oslo-Gardermoen 1 700
Tromsoe-Langnes 1 700
The Republic of Poland
Warszawa-Okecie 1 400
The Portuguese Republic
Lisboa 1 200
Sta Maria 1 700
Porto Santo 1 030
Romania
Bucharest-Otopeni 900
Timisoara 900
Bacau 900
The Czech and Slovak Federal Republic |
Praha 600
Bratislava 700
Kosice 400
The Republic of Turkey
Eskisehir 1 500
Diyarbakir 1 500
Ukraine
Borispol 2 100
APPENDIX III
Information transmitted by the Executive Secretariat
CSCE Vienna, CFE, JCG, OSCC
Technical questions that could not be solved when the Open Skies
Treaty was signed were handled in the Open Skies Consultative
Committee.
All questions that have already been solved were adopted in the
form of "Decisions relating to the Open Skies Treaty":
cost-sharing resulting from the application of the Open Skies
Treaty (Decision 1 of 29th June 1992 with
specifications of 10th December 1992);
additional measures for non-destructive tests (Decision 2 of
29th June 1992);
method of calculating the maximum height above the ground at
which each optical camera on board an observation
aircraft may be used during an observation flight
(Decision 3 of 29th June 1992);
minimum specifications applicable to cameras on board an
observation aircraft of an observed party exercising
its right to provide an obsesrvation aircraft for an
observation flight (Decision 4 of 29th June 1992);
responsibility for processing films used during an observation
flight (Decision 5 of 29th June 1992);
internal regulations and working methods of the Open Skies
Consultative Committee (Decision 6 of 29th June 1992);
methods to be used to determine the ground resolution of
synthetic aperture radars (Decision 7 of 10th December
1992).
APPENDIX IV: drawing
APPENDIX IVa: drawing
APPENDIX V
1. Adopted unanimously by the committee.
2. Members of the committee: Mr. Lopez Henares (Chairman); MM.
Lenzer, Borderas (Alternate for Mr. Palacios) (Vice-Chairmen); MM.
Atkinson, Biefnot, Mrs. Blunck, MM. Boehm, Bosco, Curto, Davis, De Paoli, |
Dimmer, Gonzalez-Laxe, Gottardo, Guzzetti, Lagorce, Le Grand,
Litherland, Menzel, Pocas Santos, Sarens, Sir Donald Thompson
(Alternate: Sir udley Smith), MM. Tummers, Valleix, Verbeek, N....
N.B. The names of those taking part in the vote are printed in italics.
1. Canada, Denmark, the Czech and Slovak Republics and Hungary.
2. Document 1158.
3. Appendix I.
4. Europa-Archiv, 10th September 1992, page 486.
5. Appendix II.
6. Appendix II.
7. Peter Jones, Arms Control Today, May 1992, page 14.
8. Arms Control Today, May 1992, page 15.
9. Appendix III.
10. In an article in the New York Times of the 5th June 1989, quoted
by Ralph J. Lysyshyn in "Open Skies ahead" in Nato Review No. 1,
February 1992, page 23
11. Peter Jones, Arms Open Skies: A New Era of Transparency, Arms
Control Today, May 1992, page 10.
12. CFE Treaty Article XIV.6.
13. CFE Treaty, Protocol on Inspection.
14. Europa Archiv, 10th September 1992, page 489.
15. See the French Government's answer on 23rd July 1992 to a
question put by Mr. Jeambrun.
16. Document 1282.
17. Document 1322.
18. Document 1323.
19. Document 1345.
20. Document 1352.
21. Document 1361.
22. Appendix IV.
23. Appendix IVa.
24. Synopsis in Appendix V.
25. Paragraphs 43-51.
26. cf. CFE Treaty, Article XIV, and the Protocol on the Joint
Consultative Group.
27. Recommendation 481, Document 1223.
28. Ruediger Hartmann, Europa Archiv, 10th September 1992,page 489. |
© 1998, WEU Assembly
|