S. Hrg. 105-183 CHEMICAL WEAPONS CONVENTION ======================================================================= HEARINGS BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED FIFTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ Remarks by President Bill Clinton and Others at the White House, April 4, 1997.................................................. 321 False Promises, Fatal Flaws: The Chemical Weapons Convention [Prepared by Empower America].................................. 326 Letters and Other Material Submitted in Support of Ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention: American Ex-Prisoners of War................................. 329 Veterans of Foreign Wars of the U.S.......................... 329 Reserve Officers Association of the United States............ 329 Jewish War Veterans of the U.S.A............................. 330 Prepared Statement of Brad Roberts, Institute for Defense Analyses................................................... 331 Letters Submitted in Opposition to Ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention: Sterling Chemicals........................................... 335 Small Business Survival Committee............................ 335 Statement by Ronald F. Lehman Before the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, June 9, 1994.............................. 337 __________ Remarks by President Bill Clinton and Others at White House, April 4, 1997 Chemical Weapons Convention Event Also Speaking: Vice President Al Gore, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, Secretary of Defense William Cohen, Former Secretary of State James Baker, Former Senator Nancy Kassebaum Baker (R-KS) Vice President Gore. Please. Be seated, ladies and gentlemen. On behalf of the President it is my pleasure to welcome all of you on this beautiful spring day to the White House. I'm very pleased to be here this morning with a most distinguished group of Americans joining the President here today: the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, the Attorney General, the Secretary of Commerce, our U.N. Ambassador, other members of the Cabinet and the administration; leaders from the legislative branch, Senators Biden and Levin and others; former government officials and current ones, Democrats and Republicans; wise patriots like General Colin Powell and former Secretary of State Jim Baker; Paul Nitze, other strategists; Ed Rowny; leaders in our strategic thinking in America over the years; former Senators Warren Rudman and Nancy Kassebaum Baker and David Boren; General John Shalikashvili and other military leaders; and, I'm sure, a bunch of others that I may have accidentally overlooked, but this is quite a distinguished bipartisan gathering--Dick Holbrooke, the negotiator of the Bosnia accord, and quite a few others. You look at this group, and you go down the list, and you see individuals--men and women in different political parties, different points on the ideological spectrum--and you think immediately of dozens of important issues that have faced America where these individuals have argued with one another and been on different sides, passionately. But on this issue, every single one of them is in agreement because, looking at this from whatever point of view you want to look at it, these individuals have concluded this is very definitely in the best interest of the United States of America. The time has come to ratify the Chemical Weapons Convention. From the killing fields of the Ardennes in World War I to those of Halabja in Iraq, to Tokyo's subways and beyond, over all that distance, chemical weapons have traced an insidious path of unspeakable horror through our century. It's been a long time since World War I. Allow me to say that the oral history of my own family teaches lessons about what happened there. My father's older brother went from the hills of middle Tennessee as a teenager to join the Army and served with our troops in World War I in Europe. He came home a broken man because he had been a victim of poison gas. He lived for a long time--coughing, wheezing, limited in his ability to move around. He had one lung removed and part of another. And his life--he made a lot of his life, but it was very nearly ruined by that experience. So many millions of families around the world came into personal contact with the horrors of poison gas in World War I that the world arrived at a rare moral consensus that chemical weapons ought to be forever banned. And it lasted for a while, but then that consensus started to erode. And when some started using these terrible weapons again, as is always the case when memories had faded, the world said, ``Now, wait a minute, how should we react to that?'' Those who focused on it clearly spoke up and said, ``We've got to react strongly, this is awful, this should be condemned.'' Others were busy with other things, and it's a natural process. But now the world has focused again. The time has come to reestablish that moral consensus. And as always, the world looks to the United States of America for leadership, and we provided leadership, starting in former President Reagan's administration when this was begun. And then it was concluded in the negotiating phase in former President Bush's administration. And now, in President Clinton's administration, the cup passes to the Congress. But our whole country has a chance to say to the Congress: Do the right thing. Now is the moment, because now, on the cusp of a new century, we can join in common cause to end this scourge. As we've done with pride and conviction so many times this past century, we can once again here in the United States lead the international community on a new path toward safety and security. This is an opportunity to help ensure that the 20th century is the first and last century in which our soldiers and our citizens will live under the dangerous clouds of the threat posed by chemical weapons. This is our chance to act in a manner befitting a strong nation and a wise people, so that we can say confidently to future generations that here in our time, we came together across party lines, and we did everything we could to control these weapons of mass and inhumane destruction. On this we must be clear, bold, and united. Now it is my pleasure to introduce the individual in the President's Cabinet who is leading the charge on behalf of the President to seek confirmation of this important agreement: our Secretary of State, Madeleine Albright. Secretary Albright. Thank you very much, Mr. Vice President. The presence of so many distinguished backers of the treaty here today demonstrates support that is broad, bipartisan, and growing. There are some people who say the treaty is flawed because we cannot assume early ratification and full compliance by outlaw states. This is like saying that we should not pass a law against drug smuggling, because we cannot assume full compliance by drug traffickers. We cannot allow the rules of the international system to be set by the enemies of the international system. As Secretary of State and as an American, I'm also concerned about our leadership in the fight to stop the spread of weapons of mass destruction. If the Senate were to reject the CWC, we would be isolated from our allies and on the same side as countries such as Libya and Iraq. The problem countries will never accept a prohibition on chemical weapons if America stays out and keeps them company and gives them cover. We will not have the standing to mobilize our allies to support strong action against violators if we ourselves refuse to join the treaty being violated. The time for Senate action is now. The treaty has been pending in the Senate for 180 weeks. It's been the subject of more than a dozen hearings and hours of briefings. And we have supplied more than 1,500 pages of testimony, reports, correspondence and answers for the record concerning it. In summary, this treaty is a test of our ability to follow through on commitments. It reflects existing American practices, and advances enduring American interests. It is right and smart for America, and it deserves the Senate's timely support. Thank you. (Applause.) Secretary Cohen. Thank you very much, Secretary Albright. As we have all seen, you continue to throw the ball straight and hard and right down the middle. (Laughter.) Ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention, I believe, is indeed a critical test of American leadership, but as Secretary of Defense, I want to urge the Senate to ratify the treaty for another important reason. Quite simply, this treaty is critical to the safety of our soldiers, sailors, airmen and Marines. The Chemical Weapons Convention is needed to protect and defend the men and women in uniform who protect and defend our country. We live in a world today in which we find regional aggressors, third-rate armies, terrorist groups and religious cults who may view lethal chemical agents as the cheapest and most effective weapon against American troops in the field. Our troops, in fact, may be in greater risk of a chemical attack today than in the past. Because America's forces are the world's most powerful, adversaries are more likely to try to challenge us asymmetrically through the use of nonconventional means such as chemical weapons. So, to protect against this threat, we've developed an array of tools, ranging from protective suits to theater missile defenses. By limiting the chemical weapons threat, the CWC strengthens these tools and our ability to protect our troops and our nation from chemical attack. And that's why our military leaders who stand before us stand firmly behind America's ratification of this treaty. They understand that we can far better protect our nation working to abolish chemical weapons from the world rather than stockpiling and threatening to use them. They believe, as I believe that ratification of the CWC is critical to America's security. And I am pleased to introduce someone who has played a major role in negotiating this vital treaty, former Secretary of State Jim Baker. (Applause.) Mr. Baker. Mr. President, Mr. Vice President, distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen: As we've heard, the Chemical Weapons Convention was negotiated under Presidents Ronald Reagan and George Bush. The argument that some have used against ratification of the CWC is that it would somehow undermine our national security. Frankly, the suggestion that George Bush and Ronald Reagan would negotiate a treaty detrimental to this nation's security is outrageous. Ratification of the CWC is at its core really a test of American leadership. If we fail to ratify this treaty, we will forego the influence we would otherwise have had in the continuing international effort against chemical weapons. If we fail to ratify this treaty, we will postpone indefinitely any progress on a ban against the equally dire threat of biological weapons. And if we fail to ratify, we will also isolate ourselves from our friends in the international arena, and we will, as the Secretary of State has just told you, throw in our lot with the rogue states which oppose this treaty. But most importantly of all, my friends, if we fail to ratify the CWC, we will be sending a clear signal of retreat from international leadership, both to our allies and to our enemies alike. This is a message we should never, never send. Instead, we should send another message; we should send a message that the United States of America is a nation aware of our international responsibilities and a nation confident enough to assume them. In a word, we should send a message that America is prepared to continue to lead. And that is why all of us are here--Republicans and Democrats alike. And that is why the Senate should immediately ratify the Chemical Weapons Convention. Now its my distinct privilege to introduce to you my kissin' cousin, the former Senator from Kansas, Nancy Kassebaum Baker. (Laughter, applause.) Ms. Baker. Thank you. Mr. President, Mr. Vice President, and to distinguished friends who are gathered here today, many of whom played a key and important role over the years in the negotiations and debates regarding the Chemical Weapons treaty, I'm sure that I would be expressing on the part of most of the American people a deep sense of appreciation and gratitude for your dedication which has brought us to this point today. As a former member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee for 16 years who strongly supported President Reagan's efforts to negotiate this treaty, President Bush's efforts to complete it, and President Clinton's efforts to ratify it, I can attest to the strong bipartisan support for this convention over the years. Our success in meeting the challenge of stopping the spread of chemical weapons will depend on our vigilance. No treaty can have perfect verification. No treaty will be 100 percent successful in eliminating a threat. But if we hold out for perfection, we will squander the opportunity, as has been said by all the speakers, to join with a growing number of nations to deal now with this serious challenge to our security. Over the 4 years that the convention has been before the Senate, valid concerns have been raised. There have been 13 hearings to date, many questions answered, and numerous reports written. While to a foreign observer our internal debate may seem confusing, it is in fact the essential ingredient to forging a consensus. Our democratic traditions provide the foundation on which U.S. Leadership is built. I must commend President Clinton and Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott for the intense and productive negotiations which have been undertaken to this date to address the concerns that have been raised. I'm confident that these efforts will lead to a successful ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention, and continued U.S. Leadership on this issue. As David Boren, Brent Scowcroft, and myself recently wrote the President, and I quote, ``We believe that the real issue at stake is American leadership, not only on this critical issue of chemical weapons proliferation, but also with ramifications far broader--on a far broader array of issues which directly affect our interests. It is for these reasons that we urge you, Mr. President, not to waiver in your efforts to win ratification in the U.S. Senate.'' It's now my honor to introduce a colleague who came at the same time as I did to the U.S. Senate, in 1978. We've worked together on many issues. He now is the president of Oklahoma University. But his leadership over the years in the U.S. Senate has been central to our efforts to forge bipartisan consensus on such important issues as the one before us today. David Boren. Mr. Boren (Former U.S. Senator (D-OK)). Thank you very much, Senator Kassebaum Baker, and it's a privilege to have another opportunity to work with you on an important bipartisan cause for our country. During the 6 years that I chaired the U.S. Senate Intelligence Committee, time and time again our intelligence experts came before our committee to warn us that the greatest threat to our national security and to the next generation is the spread of weapons of mass destruction, including chemical weapons. This threat is intensified as these weapons become available to some of the least responsible nations in the world and to the terrorist groups which they shelter. The decision we must soon make about the ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention is one of those decisions on which history will judge us, and I am proud to stand with those gathered today to urge its ratification. At the end of World War II, America faced a new world situation with the beginning of the cold war. We provided as a nation the crucial leadership through NATO, the Marshall Plan and other measures which helped make this world a safer place for decades. Now, almost exactly 50 years later, with the end of the cold war, we once again face a totally new world situation, with growing fragmentation and the spread of dangerous weapons to rogue states. American leaders in the 1940's met the test of history. Members of the U.S. Senate in the 1990's must not fail it. Congress, as has been said, has had 13 major hearings on the convention for over 3 years. The issues are clearly understood. It is time to act. With the treaty due to take effect very soon, the United States will make a mistake which we will long regret if we sit on the sidelines with states we have criticized as being dangerous and irresponsible. We will lose our ability to play a major role in assuring compliance with the weapons ban. But above all, we will lose the moral basis of our leadership on an issue of urgent importance to our national security. As has been said, this is not a partisan issue. This is a question of American leadership, as has been said by Secretary Baker. This is a question of meeting our responsibility to the next generation. Earlier leaders did not fail our generation, and we must not fail those who will follow us. And now it is my great privilege to present one who has called us as a nation to meet our leadership responsibilities on this vital issue. His effort deserves our strong bipartisan support. Ladies and gentlemen, the President of the United States. (Applause.) President Clinton. Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much, Senator Boren, for your words and your presence here today. We were laughing before we came out here--Senator Boren and I started our careers in politics in 1974 together, but he found a presidency that is not term-limited--(laughter)--and I want to congratulate him on it. Mr. Vice President, Secretary Albright, Secretary Cohen, Secretary Baker, Senator Nancy Kassebaum Baker, General Shalikashvili. Let me thank all of you who have spoken here today for the words you have said, for you have said it all. And let me thank all of you who have come here to be a part of this audience today to send a clear, unambiguous, united message to America and to our Senate. I thank Senator General Colin Powell and Senator Warren Rudman; former arms negotiators Paul Nitze, Edward Rowny and Ken Adelman; so many of the Congressmen who have supported us, including Senator Biden and Senator Levin, who are here; the truly distinguished array of military leaders; leaders of businesses, religious organizations, human rights groups; scientists and arms control experts. Secretary Baker made, I thought, a very telling point, which others made as well: This is, in the beginning, a question of whether we will continue to make America's leadership strong and sure as we chart our course in a new time. We have to do that, and we can only do that if we rise to the challenge of ratifying the Chemical Weapons Convention. We are closing a 20th century which gives us an opportunity now to forge a widening international commitment to banish poison gas from the Earth in the 21st century. This is a simple issue at bottom, even though the details are somewhat complex. Presidents and legislators from both parties, military leaders and arms control experts have bound together in common cause because this is simply good for the future of every American. I received two powerful letters recently calling for ratification. One has already been mentioned that I received from Senator Nancy Kassebaum Baker, Senator Boren, and former national security advisor General Brent Scowcroft. The other came from General Powell, General Jones, General Vessey, General Schwarzkopf, and more than a dozen other retired generals and admirals, all of them saying, as one, America needs to ratify the Chemical Weapons Convention, and we must do it before it takes affect on April 29th. Of course, the treaty is not a panacea. No arms control treaty can be absolutely perfect, and none can end the need for vigilance. But no nation acting alone can protect itself from the threat posed by chemical weapons. Trying to stop their spread by ourselves would be like trying to stop the wind that helps carry their poison to its target. We must have an international solution to a global problem. The convention provides clear and overwhelming benefits to our people. Under a law Congress passed in the 1980's, we are already destroying almost all our chemical weapons. The convention requires other nations to follow our lead, to eliminate their arsenals of poison gas, and to give up developing, producing and acquiring such weapons in the future. By ratifying the Chemical Weapons Convention, as Secretary Cohen said, we can help to shield our soldiers from one of the battlefield's deadliest killers. We can give our children something our parents never had--broad protection against the threat of chemical attack. And we can bolster our leadership in the fight against terrorism, of proliferation all around the world. If the Senate fails to ratify the convention before it enters into force, our national security and, I might add, our economic security will suffer. We will be denied use of the treaty's tools against rogue states and terrorists; we will lose the chance to help to enforce the rules we helped to write, or to have American serve as inter- national inspectors--something that is especially important for those who have raised concerns about inspection provisions of the treaty. Ironically, if we are outside this agreement rather than inside, it is our chemical companies, our leading exporters, which will face mandatory trade restrictions that could cost them hundreds of millions of dollars in sales. In short order, America will go from leading the world to joining the company of pariah nations that the Chemical Weapons Convention seeks to isolate. We cannot allow this to happen. The time has come to pass this treaty, as 70 other nations already have done. Since I sent the Chemical Weapons Convention to the Senate 3\1/2\ years ago, there have been mom than a dozen hearings, more than 1,500 pages of testimony and reports. During the last 3 months, we have worked very closely with Senate leaders to go the extra mile to resolve remaining questions in areas of concern. I want to thank those in the Senate who have worked with us for their leadership and for their good- faith efforts. Ratifying the Chemical Weapons Convention, again I say, is important both for what it does and for what it says. It says America is committed to protecting our troops, to fighting terror, to stopping the spread of weapons of mass destruction, to setting and enforcing standards for international behavior, and to leading the world in meeting the challenges of the 21st century. I urge the Senate to act in the highest traditions of bipartisanship and in the deepest of our national interests. And let me again say, the words that I have spoken today are nothing compared to the presence, to the careers, to the experience, to the judgment, to the patriotism of Republicans and Democrats alike and the military leaders who have gathered here and who all across this country have lent their support to this monumentally important effort. We must not fail. We have a lot of work to do, but I leave here today with renewed confidence that together we can get the job done. Thank you. God bless you. And God bless America. (Applause.) __________ False Promises, Fatal Flaws: The Chemical Weapons Convention Prepared by Empower America as part of its Ideas for the Next Century-- International Leadership Series, March 1997 False Promises, Fatal Flaws: The Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) ``The CWC is not global since many dangerous nations have not agreed to join the treaty regime. * * * The CWC is not effective because it does not ban or control possession of all chemicals that could be used for lethal weapons purposes. * * * The CWC is not verifiable as the US intelligence community has repeatedly acknowledged in congressional testimony.'' --From a letter to Senator Trent Lott signed by Former National Security Advisor William P. Clark, Former Secretaries of Defense Caspar Weinberger and Richard Cheney, and Former US Ambassador to the UN Jeane Kirkpatrick The Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) purports to ban the development, production, stockpiling, and use of chemical weapons, as well as the destruction of existing arsenals and weapons production facilities. Various degrees of controls on and prohibitions against production of and trade in certain chemicals are to be phased in over several years. The alleged benefits of the CWC, however, are illusory and obscure serious harm to US strategic, economic, and civil interests.While claiming to reduce and even eliminate chemical arsenals, the CWC actually does nothing to remove such weapons from those states most likely to use them--including Iraq, Libya, North Korea, and Syria. The CWC creates a mechanism that could lead to the proliferation of chemical weapons technology among parties and their client states. The CWC's enforcement provisions would impose serious costs and economic risks on US businesses, even those not directly involved in defense industries, and pose serious challenges to rights protected by the Constitution. The Empty Threat of ``Being Left Behind'' ``[T]he chemical weapons problem is so difficult from an intelligence perspective that I cannot state that we have high confidence in our ability to detect non-compliance, especially on a small scale.'' --Former Director of Central Intelligence James Woolsey The CWC is due to enter into force on April 29, 1997. The dire warnings of the Clinton Administration and others that failure to ratify the Convention before that date will exclude the US from involvement in the initial organization of the CWC's institutions and subject US companies to trade sanctions are misleading. Failure to participate in the organization of an inherently ineffective regime is of questionable concern. Failure of the US to join the CWC would inhibit trade only to a limited degree. Even the administration's estimate of potential losses to US companies totals only $600 million annually, far less than the cost CWC compliance. Selected Chemical Weapons Programs Countries with declared programs: Iraq, Russia, US Countries with undeclared programs: China, Egypt, India, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Libya, North Korea, Pakistan, Syria, Taiwan, Vietnam, Ethiopia, Myanmar/Burma *NOTE: Countries in bold either have or are developing ballistic missiles. False Promises ``The CWC would likely have the effect of leaving the United States and its allies more, not less, vulnerable to chemical attack. It could well serve to increase, not reduce, the spread of chemical weapons manufacturing capabilities. Thus we would be better off not to be party to it.'' --James Schlesinger, Caspar Weinberger, and Donald Rumsfeld, Former Secretaries of Defense The Clinton Administration and other supporters of the CWC acknowledge that the Convention is ``no panacea'' in addressing the threat of chemical weapons. The truth, however, is that the CWC is far more ineffective than supporters contend. Several of the states most likely to pose a chemical weapons threat, including Iraq, North Korea, Libya, and Syria, have no intention of becoming parties to the CWC. Even states that have signed the CWC, most notably Russia and China, are unlikely to respect its provisions--least of all rid themselves of their current arsenals--if they indeed ratify it. Russia alone has already developed chemical programs designed to evade inspections or utilize agents not addressed by the Convention. The CWC does not ban most chemical weapons agents, because most agents are used extensively for non-military purposes. Indeed, chemical weapons remain the easiest weapons of mass destruction to develop and produce in significant quantities without detection, largely due to the widespread non-military use of their ingredients. US intelligence officials have acknowledged that significant difficulties exist in detecting covert chemical weapons programs. As a National Intelligence Estimate concluded in 1993, ``The capability of the intelligence community to monitor compliance with the Chemical Weapons Convention is severely limited. * * * The key provision of the monitoring regime-- challenge inspections at declared sites--can be thwarted by a nation determined to preserve a small, secret program using the delays and managed access rules allowed by the Convention.'' Procedures exist for producing ready-to-use chemical agents within so short a time that inspections prior to a conflict or crisis could be meaningless. A recent Pentagon report details Russia's development of chemical agents that could be produced in a matter of weeks. The CWC's provisions for punishing violators are exceptionally vague. The UN Security Council would be charged with addressing violations. In addition to the traditional ineffectiveness of sanctions and other punitive actions ordered by the Security Council, Russia and China could be expected to limit or veto outright punishment of their client states and allies. While the Chemical Manufacturers Association (CMA) supports the CWC, it represents only a small fraction of the companies that would be affected by the Convention. Indeed, thousands of companies potentially affected are not even aware of their exposure to CWC provisions. The Chemical Manufacturers Association's support is likely based on hopes for increased trade in dangerous chemicals due to the elimination of restrictions in accordance with the materiel and technology sharing mandated by the Convention. Fatal Flaws ``The United States is abandoning * * * one of the most effective deterrents to chemical use against itself and its allies: the right to an extant and mature offensive chemical weapons program. * * * [T]he Senate should understand that it will contribute to the weakening of deterrence, not to its strengthening, by eliminating the ability of the United States to respond in kind to chemical attack. A weakening of deterrence means * * * that American * * * soldiers are more, not less, likely to be attacked with chemical weapons.'' --J.D. Crouch, Former Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Beyond the ineffectiveness of the CWC in meeting its purported goals, its provisions would actually do great harm to the strategic and economic interests of the US. The CWC requires materiel and technology sharing with states that would otherwise be denied such assistance; the CWC would actually spread chemical weapons know-how to parties, such as China and Iran, and their client states. Similar arrangements regarding nuclear technology have contributed to the development of nuclear weapons programs across the globe. The CWC would require the US to destroy its entire chemical weapons arsenal, while leaving untouched the substantial arsenals of rogue states like Iraq, Libya, North Korea, and Syria, which are not party to the treaty. Even potential parties such as Russia have persistently violated chemical weapons reduction requirements of past agreements and are already engaged in programs designed to defy and evade the CWC. The US relies upon a strategy of retaliation to deter chemical attacks. The CWC, however, would limit US options to costly conventional operations or a nuclear strike. Contrasted with a limited in-kind chemical-for-chemical exchange, these two options are politically difficult to pursue and therefore not very credible deterrents to a would-be aggressor. As interpreted by the Clinton Administration and Congressional backers of the Convention, the CWC would prohibit the use of non-lethal chemicals such as tear gas, leaving US troops with no effective response other than bullets to threatening crowds or the use of civilian shields--such as occurred in Somalia. Almost 8,000 US businesses, even non-defense industries utilizing potential chemical agents, would have to shoulder significant reporting and other compliance costs and expose themselves to the well-precedented risk of industrial espionage during inspections. Realistic yearly costs related to CWC compliance run as high as $200 million in government expenditures and perhaps billions in costs to businesses. In addition, Russia has already begun to link its ratification of the CWC to billions of dollars in economic assistance, some of which would be only tangentially--if at all--connected to compliance with the Convention. The inspection provisions of the CWC could lead to serious violations of the Constitution's protection of due process and privacy as international teams attempt to investigate private US companies and their employees. The well-precedented tendency of governments to ignore or downplay violations of arms control agreements so as to preserve the overall regimes, as well as the extensive political and diplomatic capital that has been invested thus far in the CWC, are likely to inhibit enforcement of the Convention and the pursuit of more effective initiatives. __________ Letters and Other Material Submitted in Support of Ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention American Ex-Prisoners of War, Watauga, Tennessee, February 20, 1997. Hon. Trent Lott, Majority Leader, U.S. Senate, Washington, DC 20510. Dear Senator Lott: As National Commander of the American Ex- Prisoners of War, I wish to express my support for the ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention Treaty. This is an important step in reducing the price that Americans who serve their country on the field of battle must pay in defense of our freedom. Those captured in prior wars know all too well the enduring price of those sacrifices even without chemical weapons and their life-long disabling consequences. While there may, of course, be some risk in adopting this treaty, Americans must play a leadership role in international efforts to reduce this price to the extent possible. These risks have been thoroughly weighed by Presidents Reagan, Bush and Clinton, and the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and all have supported this treaty. Sincerely, Wm. E. ``Sonny'' Mottern, National Commander ______ News Release, Veterans of Foreign Wars of the U.S., Washington, DC 20002. for release: vfw supports chemical weapons treaty Washington, DC, February 13, 1997.--The Veterans of Foreign Wars today announced its support for ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention Treaty which would halt the manufacture, stockpiling and use of chemical weapons. VFW Commander in Chief James E. Nier, of El Paso, Texas, in calling for support for the treaty's ratification said, ``The treaty will reduce world stockpiles of such weapons and will hopefully prevent our troops from being exposed to poison gases as we believe happened in the Gulf War.'' Noting the support of three Presidents for the treaty--it was initiated by President Reagan, negotiated by President Bush, and submitted for ratification by President Clinton--and that the treaty is supported by the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Nier said the VFW would support efforts calling for the treaty' ratification. ``There are risks in adopting this treaty. However, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff believes the advantages outweigh the shortcomings and Defense Secretary Cohen has assured me these risks can be greatly reduced with the ongoing improvements in the defense posture of our troops against chemical warfare,'' Nier said. The VFW leader noted that, ``As combat veterans we support this treaty, but in the future if we perceive that this treaty puts our country and our troops at a disadvantage, we will be out front and lead the way in calling for withdrawal from the treaty.'' ______ Proposed Resolution No. 97-TS4 Reserve Officers Association of the United States, Washington, DC. chemical weapons convention WHEREAS, the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC), which would ban the development, production, and stockpiling, as well as the use and preparation for use of chemical weapons was negotiated by both the Reagan and Bush administrations; and WHEREAS, 65 countries, including virtually all of our friends and allies, have already ratified the CWC; and WHEREAS, under a law signed in 1985 by then-President Reagan, all U.S. chemical weapons (many of which are nearly 50 years old) are to be destroyed by the year 2004; and WHEREAS, the Congress has repeatedly refused to authorize the funds necessary to modernize our chemical weapons arsenal, leading us to abandon that effort in 1991; and WHEREAS, the CWC will go into force, with or without United States' ratification, on April 29, 1997; and WHEREAS, United States' failure to ratify the CWC will place us among the great outlaw states of the world, including Libya, Iran, and North Korea; and WHEREAS, United States' ratification of the CWC will enable us to play a major role in the development and implementation of CWC policy, as well as providing strong moral leverage to help convince Russia of the desirability of ratifying the convention; NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED, that the Reserve Officers Association of the United States, chartered by Congress, urges the Senate to quickly ratify the Chemical Weapons Convention. Attest: Roger W. Sandler, Major General, AUS (Retired), National Executive Director Note: This is not an official ROA resolution until adopted by the National (Convention/Council). ______ News Release, Jewish War Veterans of the U.S.A., Washington, DC 20004. for immediate release: jwv supports ratification of chemical weapons treaty Washington, DC, February 5, 1997.--The Jewish War Veterans of the U.S.A. (JWV) calls for the ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) which was signed during the Bush Administration. The need for the treaty is more critical today than ever before. JWV National Commander Bob Zweiman stated, ``The events related to the Gulf War Syndrome revealed that when it comes to chemical warfare, there may either be an incapacity to recognize the dangers to our troops in the field or, once shown to exist, there can be a penchant to cover up the embarrassment for the failure to so recognize. But for the actions of the Veterans Administration, our Gulf War veterans would have found themselves without any current avenue of possible relief and, even now, we must still be concerned with claim time limitations. ``While the CWC may not be perfect in all terms, it provides an aura of international cooperation into the arsenal of the United States protecting our national interests without compromising our freedom of action. There are meaningful provisions in the CWC which will afford and opportunity to impose economic restrictions and sanctions against those who develop chemical weapons or deal with the threat of or use of such chemical warfare. ``As is readily recognizable from the U.N. monitoring of the Iraqi facilities, there can be no assurances for a security or for a real defense capability against the use of chemicals by rogue nations or terrorists without controls as may additionally be made available to us by the CWC. We are honor bound to protect our Nation and our troops by minimizing the chances from all obvious or hidden means of chemical attack in the future.'' Founded in 1896, JWV is the oldest, active national veterans' organization in America and is known as the ``Patriotic Voice of American Jewry.'' JWV is currently celebrating its centennial year which included JWV's hosting of Veterans Day ceremonies at Arlington Cemetery on November 11, 1998. __________ Prepared Statement of Brad Roberts, Institute for Defense Analyses In hearings before this committee a year ago, I had the opportunity to address a number of specific concerns about the benefits, costs, and verifiability of the Chemical Weapons Convention and, in so doing, to argue that the U.S. national interest is well served by ratification of the Convention and U.S. participation in the new regime. Rather than again offer a defense of the Convention, I would like to take the opportunity to help to bring into better focus the nation's stake in the pending CWC vote. Toward that end, I would like to describe five messages that would be sent by your rejection of the CWC. The first message would be that America's elected officials remain firmly in the grip of the Cold War when it comes to arms control The current debate about the CWC was in fact scripted in the early 1980s, when most of the protagonists staked out their positions (although at that point the treaty itself was nothing more than a glimmer in the eye of negotiators). On the one hand were those who saw arms control as a dangerous delusion--a sell-out to the Soviets. On the other were those who saw any arms build-up as a dangerous folly--a false remedy to Cold War confrontation. For each, the CWC was but one front in the larger ideological battle. Today, CWC opponents savage the treaty as fatally flawed, while administration supporters defend it as useful for ridding the world of evil weapons. Moderates in both parties, on the other hand, seem for the most part to have lost interest and to have anticipated U.S. ratification as a ``no-brainer.'' The antipathy to CW arms control in the Cold War had much to do with the specific strategic context in Europe. With NATO forces overmatched by Warsaw Pact forces, if war came it seemed likely that the West would have to rely on early use of its tactical nuclear weapons. The Soviets quite possibly could have denied NATO a carefully considered and effective use of its nuclear weapons with chemical warfare. Sustained chemical attacks on NATO forces without fear of reprisal would have enabled the Warsaw Pact to maintain high tempo attacks with conventional forces and without themselves suffering the consequences of chemical warfare--namely the cumbersome work of fighting inside gas masks and chemical protection suits. Hence NATO needed some in-kind retaliatory capability for the Soviet chemical threat, which was provided by the United States with its chemical arsenal. Hence the opposition to a chemical ban because of the belief that even small-scale cheating on any such ban could have been sharply destabilizing not just in Europe but to the central strategic balance. But that strategic landscape is gone. Today, no country of proliferation concern has the ability to deliver the quantities of chemical agents with precision for days and weeks against U.S. forces or to exploit the tactical circumstances created by their use to inflict operational or strategic defeat on U.S. military forces. It would take a great deal of cheating to create a chemical arsenal with potential military significance when used against well-protected U.S. forces, a scale of cheating that is beyond the reach of these states so long as they must keep the program secret and underground. Even if they were somehow able to create a massive chemical arsenal despite international inspections, none of these states has the Soviet-vintage capacity to overwhelm U.S. forces by conventional means or to escalate to tactical and strategic nuclear attack. Their chemical attacks would have nuisance value--perhaps high nuisance value--but they do not promise to create the strategic predicament created by the Warsaw Pact. Thus the United States need not concern itself with detecting any and all acts of noncompliance by parties to the CWC, but only with militarily significant cheating--so long as it sustains strong antichemical defenses. Of course, it will not rely on the CWC to understand the CW capabilities of potential enemies--that's why a great deal of money is spent on proliferation-related intelligence capabilities. Moreover, the United States does not need to stoop to chemical retaliation to punish the use of chemical weapons against its forces. In the current environment, U.S. military interests are best served by minimizing the role chemicals might play on the battlefield, so that the superior conventional weaponry of the United States can be used to best advantage. In fact, the United States has forsworn the right to use chemical weapons under any circumstance, even in retaliation, in the wake of the Persian Gulf war. Norman Schwartzkopf is only the latest of many military commanders to say that the United States does not need a chemical deterrent for the chemical threats it faces in the proliferation era. This makes it possible for the United States to trade its aging stockpile of chemical weapons, the vast majority produced in the 1950s and 1960s, for a global ban. This points to the conclusion that the critics' case against the CWC has been made on the wrong national security criteria. Cold War thinking says that only the strictest verification and compliance standards are suitable for arms control and that chemical disarmament weakens deterrence. Both judgments are wrong for the post-cold war era, so long as the arms control in question does not touch on the fundamentals of strategic nuclear stability. The CWC is neither panacea nor folly. It is not a substitute for all of those other things that must be done to meet the proliferation challenge. It does not eliminate chemical weapons nor the risks of cheating. But it does meet strict national security criteria. And it helps to keep the CW problem manageable while adding new political tools to the arsenal of political, economic, intelligence, and military measures that must be used synergistically if the proliferation threat is to be kept in check. I for one am grateful that the debate on the CWC has not turned out to be a ``no-brainer'', for we now have the chance to rise above the tired debate of the past and to think through the larger questions of arms control standards, national interests, and U.S. leadership in terms suitable for the post-Cold War era. If the administration and the Congress cannot come to a clearer agreement on these issues, the national interest seems likely to suffer badly. At the very least, disagreement will doom the six other arms control measures currently awaiting U.S. ratification--and with them, some of the few tools available to the United States for building future political coalitions. A second message is that the United States does not understand what is at stake in stopping the proliferation of chemical weapons. Chemical weapons proliferated dramatically in the 1980s, to more than 20 countries. They have appeared, moreover, in precisely those regions where the United States offers security guarantees and in the hands of those states that sponsor terrorism. Stemming their proliferation is essential to dealing with the more general problem of the proliferation of nuclear and biological weapons, missile delivery systems, and advanced conventional weaponry. If rogues can use NBC weapons as trump cards against U.S. military action, or to conduct attacks on American civilians, our world will change fundamentally--and for the worse. If the end of the Cold War is what made the CWC possible, proliferation is what made it necessary. It would be nice if the CWC were to rid the world completely of chemical weapons, but it won't (at least, as long as renegade states exist). So what other interests might it serve vis-a-vis the proliferation problem? The United States has an interest in preventing the continued proliferation to ever more states. It has an interest in getting out of the chemical warfare business those who are only dabbling (intrigued by Iraq's use of chemical weapons in its war against Iran). It has an interest in keeping the stockpiles of those who remain in the business small and unsophisticated. It has an interest in isolating by political and economic means those states that remain in the business. And it has an interest in not being isolated politically when it comes time to deal militarily with those chemically-armed states that pose real and immediate military dangers. The CWC will do a good job of safeguarding these interests. Its verification provisions are sufficient to deter all but the most committed CW producers. The charge that the CWC will be ineffective because some important CW possessors are non-signatories misses an essential point--by self-selecting out of the regime, these states identify themselves as problem cases and make themselves objects of suspicion and trade restraints. In each of these ways, the CWC promises a tangible benefit to U.S. security (which is an answer to those critics who allege that the CWC offers no such benefits for the United States). A third message of non-ratification is that the United States is going to be irrelevant to the international effort to stem CW proliferation. Treaty opponents have offered up a number of substitutes. One is ``reinvigoration'' of the Geneva Protocol of 1925, whose signatories agree not to use chemical weapons (although some states have reserved the right to use such weapons in retaliation). The Protocol is certainly in dire need of help--it was dealt a crippling blow by the failure to respond to Saddam Hussein's use of chemical weapons throughout the 1980s in his wars against both Iranians and Iraqis. Reinvigoration would presumably entail the addition of compliance and verification provisions--just like those that turned the Protocol into the CWC! Reinvigoration would also presumably entail some renewed political commitment to the Protocol. But the United States can hardly expect others to line up with it behind the Protocol as an alternative to the CWC when even its closest friends and allies are moving on to the CWC. Moreover, the United States carries the added burden of lingering international resentment over its particular failure to uphold the Protocol in the 1980s because of its grievances against Iran. Their second alternative is to supplement the protocol with a new treaty analogous to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. The NPT is unique in the history of multilateral arms control measures in that it grants to a set of states certain rights that are denied to others--in this case, the right to possess nuclear weapons. Under the proposed chemical parallel, the United States and presumably Russia would be allowed to keep their chemical weapons while they try to police other states from acquiring their own. But no countries would join with the United States in this endeavor--all see U.S. and Russian disarmament as essential to the political bargain embodied in the chemical control regime. To suggest that a new treaty could be made without this cornerstone, or simply imposed, is either naive or disingenuous. Their third alternative is reliance on unilateral, domestic measures, such as those detailed in SB495. In fact, most if not all of those measures would be necessary adjuncts to CWC implementation. But as a substitute for the CWC, SB495 leaves much to be desired. One noteworthy, example is in the area of export controls: the United States can anticipate growing friction with its partners in the Australia Group process, most of whom will be among the original states parties to the CWC, if it attempts to rely on economic sticks and carrots while sitting aside from the CWC. Another example is in the area of CWC compliance challenges: by walking away from the CWC, the United States leaves its allies and other prospective coalition partners to fend for themselves when it comes to dealing with noncompliance by states parties to the CWC. The United States may be there when the chips are down militarily, but for circumstances short of war it will leave its friends and allies to manage largely on their own the political and economic instruments of risk management. Despite its many merits, SB495 is little more than window dressing on American retreat from the CW proliferation problem. Its primary short-term benefit would probably be in making some Americans feel good about walking away. In short, these alternatives are not viable. To reject the CWC is to consign the United States to irrelevance to the international effort to manage the CW proliferation problem. This is a course of action of dubious political merit. The notion that somehow America should sit aside while others do the hard work of dealing with proliferation will be an insult to many Americans. Americans are not bystanders. But rejection of the CWC will marginalize U.S. influence and turn us into free-loaders on the efforts of others to implement the CWC despite our having walked away. This is an insult to Americans rightly proud of the nation's historic role of a power with both military strength and a vision of a better world--and the will to lend its political prestige to bring it into being. It is also an insult to the integrity of American diplomacy--having given our word to participate as a party to the convention, in the form of then-Secretary Eagleburger's signature, non-ratification will erode the strength of American political promises more generally. Others will rightly ask how America can expect to hold others to their promises when it breaks its own? A fourth message that would be sent by non-ratification is that America is going to dish out some vigilante justice when it comes to dealing with CW-armed proliferators. Whether or not the United States ratifies the CWC, it enters into force as international law on April 29. By walking away from the law it helped to create, the United States will be relegating itself to the role of vigilante whenever it chooses to undertake military actions against CW-armed states--as one who professes a commitment to the rule of law, but places itself above the law when it comes to dealing with outlaws. By working from outside rather than inside the CWC normative framework, the United States will turn military acts against chemically-armed states into solitary exercises of U.S. military prowess, rather than coalition campaigns to punish transgressors. The United States will have no one to blame but itself for the political isolation it will suffer. This too is a course of action of dubious political merit. America does not belong above the law--indeed, central to our national conception is a belief in the moral basis of our politics and power, and our mission to expand the rule of law. In our de facto role as ``world's policeman,'' will others think of us as a respectful steward of the common weal or an unreliable bully whose lip service to the rule of law is cynical and abandoned when it does not suit his needs? To reject the CWC is to put us on the wrong side of history, especially our own, and on the side with Iraq, Libya, and North Korea. A fifth message is that America does not trust itself--more specifically, that the Senate does not trust itself to do its oversight job. One of the arguments used by CWC opponents to persuade freshmen Senators to join their cause is the so-called lulling effect of arms control. The argument runs as follows: tyrants will get the better of arms control with democracies because de- mocracies want to believe that others are Good and will go far to delude themselves that the tyrant is living up to his promises. This delusion paralyzes democracies, which then ignore real military vulnerabilities and, by looking duped, embolden the tyrant. By this logic, arms control may lead to war. This is a view of arms control derived from a rather peculiar interpretation of the genesis of fascist aggression in the 1930s, one which flies in the face of the experience of the Cold War when democracies stood firm against totalitarianism for half a century. Anyone who today thinks that chemical arms control will lull a sleepy republic must overlook the huge sums of money invested annually in chemical preparedness, the existence of an intelligence community charged with monitoring arms control compliance, and a host of ``friendly critics'' who scrutinize arms control implementation. For Senators to align themselves with a point of view that is distrustful of democratic process would be especially odd. Should we infer that they themselves believed that they are dupes--that they are not confident that they can or will perform their oversight responsibilities, by asking the right questions at the right times about U.S. military readiness and compliance findings by U.S. intelligence? Like it or not, this is what the Senate will signal to the world-- and to the American voter--if it rejects the CWC. America as nostalgic for the Cold War. America as ignorant of its special stake in stopping NBC proliferation. America as free-loader. America as dupe of foreign tyrants, timid and unreliable. An America enjoying unparalleled military strength, but unable to bank on its strengths to take small risks for large payoffs. An America that says no to change, that has lost its bearings and its mission to promote the change that makes a better world possible. In short, the vote on the CWC comes down to a vote about U.S. leadership. It presents the Senate with a basic choice. The United States can lead, by safeguarding common interests and protecting U.S. national interests by exercising a political-military influence commensurate with the nation's weight and moral compass. It can follow, by freeloading on the efforts of others while pretending that domestic, unilateral measures are enough to meet its needs. Or it can get out of the way, as a new wave of proliferation occurs and fuels the ambitions of those who would try to use their weapons of mass destruction to intimidate U.S. allies and to veto the use of U.S. military power to honor its security guarantees. Many on this panel had the privilege to serve with one of the great American leaders of this century. Ronald Reagan's special gifts as a leader, it seems to me, were his intuitive understanding of the American public myth--our view of ourselves as a people with a certain historic mission and a strong moral compass--and his ability to translate the decisions of current moment into this larger framework. He understood that Americans expect their country to stand tough against aggressors--and to know how to safeguard that essential part of the nation's political power that flows not from the barrels of American guns but from its traditions and values. A vote for the CWC would be consistent with this sense of national purpose. A vote against would be an insult. ______ Brad Roberts is a member of the research staff at the Institute for Defense Analyses in Alexandria, Va. The views expressed here are his own. __________ Letters Submitted in Opposition to Ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention Sterling Chemicals, April 15, 1997. Hon. Jesse Helms, Chairman, Foreign Relations Committee, United States Senate, Washington, DC. Dear Mr. Chairman: Sterling Chemicals, Inc. strongly supports a worldwide ban on the production, possession and use of chemical weapons, but we are concerned about the mechanics and cost impacts associated with the proposed Chemicals Weapon Convention (CWC). We have made our concerns known to the Honorable Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison last August. Highlights of our concerns are: 1. We have serious misgivings about the ability to protect confidential business information. Having a foreign inspection team inside our facility with almost unlimited access to process knowledge and data is not acceptable to Sterling. 2. Cost impact will be significant! We project the costs just to prepare for, manage, conduct and complete an inspection to be at least $200,000-$300,000. This doesn't include performing duplicate sampling and analysis, as well as calibration and verification of process instrumentation. 3. We cannot comply with the treaty provisions within our current annual budget and headcount. Sterling has reduced headcount to maintain our competitiveness. We are doing more with less. We believe the additional data record-keeping and paperwork burden associated with this treaty cannot be managed with existing resources. 4. The EPA and OSHA, while participating as part of the inspection team, may become over zealous with their enforcement philosophy and begin citing violations as part of their own agenda--while they're supposed to be monitoring the foreign inspection team. Sterling Chemicals is not a foreign policy expert, yet we have serious misgivings about the foreign policy implications of the proposed CWC. For example: 1. How will chemicals weapon control be enforced in other countries (Mexico, Columbia, North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Libya, Croatia, etc.)? Since they probably will not cooperate, how does this treaty produce a ``worldwide ban''? 2. How will international security and foreign policy issues related to protection of trade secrets be handled? 3. Will the cost and implementation of the treaty put American industry at a competitive disadvantage with foreign industry whose compliance is less regulated? Sterling emphasizes its desire to see a worldwide ban on chemical weapons. We hope this submittal provides the information you seek for an informed decision which is best for America. Sincerely, Robert W. Roten, President and CEO. ______ Small Business Survival Committee, April 14, 1997. Hon. Jesse Helms, Chairman, Foreign Relations Committee, United States Senate, Washington, DC. Dear Senator Helms: On behalf of the Small Business Survival Committee (SBSC) and its more than 40,000 members across the nation, I wish to express our opposition to the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) treaty due to be voted upon soon by the U.S. Senate. Also, I apologize for not being able to testify before the Foreign Relations Committee due to severe time constraints. It seems to us that a wide array of defense and foreign policy experts have raised legitimate questions about the CWC, including several former U.S. Secretaries of Defense. They see the CWC as non- verifiable, non-enforceable and not serving U.S. national interests, and SBSC agrees. Though the CWC offers nothing in terms of improving U.S. security interests, the CWC accomplishes much by way of raising regulatory costs on already over-regulated U.S. businesses. For example, the CWC would inflict the following on U.S. entrepreneurs and businesses: For the first time, U.S. private industry would be subject to foreign inspection as a result of a treaty. Inspectors would come from a new international agency in the Hague, Netherlands. Businesses must prove to the U.S. government and international inspectors that they are not producing or stockpiling chemical weapons, with noncompliance fines reaching as high as $50,000 per incident. Forms would have to be filed on chemical types each year and changes in a process using certain chemicals would have to be reported five days in advance. Noncompliance could result in a $5,000 fine. And of course, with government bureaucrats issuing fines, the threat that fines shift from a means of deterrence or punishment to a source of revenues always looms. Firms would be open to a real threat from international industrial espionage. The loss of proprietary information could seriously weaken international competitiveness. The treaties protections are frivolous, and any court challenge likely would come after the horse left the barn. U.S. firms producing, processing, or consuming a scheduled chemical will carry a paperwork/declaration burden. The U.S. Department of Commerce estimated that it will take companies 9 hours to fill out paperwork for every Schedule I chemical, 7.2 hours for Schedule 2 chemicals, 2.5 hours for Schedule 3 chemicals, and 5.3 hours for each Discrete Organic Chemical. Estimates range from 2,000 to more than 10,000 U.S. companies that will be forced to bear these paperwork burdens. Congress's Office of Technology Assessment estimated that inspections will cost U.S. firms anywhere from $10,000 to $500,000 per visit. Smaller businesses will be hit hardest by increased regulatory burdens. Interestingly, the Chemical Manufacturers Association (CMA) supports ratification of the CWC, apparently claiming that the new regulations would not be a burden. However, the CMA is a group of generally large chemical manufacturers, and reportedly more than 60 percent of the facilities likely affected by the CWC are not CMA members. Large companies possess far greater resources and experience in dealing with regulators of all kinds. Indeed, new regulatory burdens can perversely give large firms a competitive edge over smaller companies due to such resource and experience factors. As economist Thomas Hopkins has shown, the per employee cost of federal regulation runs almost 50 percent higher for firms with fewer than 500 employees vs. companies with more than 500 employees--$5,400 per employee vs. $3,000 per employee, respectively. Chemical companies would not be the only types of businesses subject to CWC regulations. Firms in the food processing, pharmaceutical, paint, petroleum, biotech, electronics, textiles, fertilizers, rubber, brewing, and distilling industries would be impacted as well. Significant legal questions arise for U.S. businesses as well. Distinct possibilities exist that rights of due process could be violated in relation to warrantless searches and personnel being compelled to answer questions, and provide information and access; and a ``takings'' could occur when government reveals information harming a business. There are CWC supporters who would have the public believe that treaty supporters do not care about chemical weapons and U.S. security; in fact, the exact opposite is true. Anyone who really cares should stand up and oppose this deeply flawed, dangerous and costly treaty. SBSC believes the Chemical Weapons Convention to be a deeply flawed treaty that will do nothing to enhance and may indeed weaken U.S. national security, while imposing new regulatory burdens on U.S. businesses. The Chemical Weapons Convention should be rejected by the U.S. Senate. Sincerely, Raymond J. Keating, Chief Economist, Small Business Survival Committee. __________ Statement by Ronald F. Lehman Before the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, June 9, 1994 Mr. Chairman, Distinguished Members of this Committee: In Islamabad, Pakistan, last week, I received your invitation to appear before the Committee to discuss ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention. It was an honor to be asked to appear before you once again, and I am particularly pleased to join several close and valued friends who made major contributions to the revolutionary national security and arms control achievements which took place during the Reagan and Bush administrations. It is in that same spirit of public service that they are here today. The best friends of real arms control are those who have demanded the highest standards. Better is not really the enemy of the good. In particular, the U.S. negotiating position is always strengthened when we negotiators are reminded that one-third of the Senate plus one might someday decide that the treaty we conclude falls short of their expectations for advancing the national interest. During the negotiation of the Chemical Weapons Convention, I and others consulted regularly with members of the United States Congress including the members of this Committee. We sought your advice on how to negotiate the best possible treaty. A process of consultation, however, must never substitute for a rigorous examination of the final product such as is now underway, taking into account the contributions of critics as well as proponents. For my part, I am a proponent. I speak today as a private citizen; the views I express are my own and not necessarily those of any institution or administration. Let me make clear up front where I stand. I urge the Senate to give its consent to the ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention and to move quickly to complete a process of careful deliberation. I say this, not because of my personal involvement in its negotiation, but on its merits. I won't repeat the many arguments which have already been made on behalf of the treaty, but I would like to present a few additional considerations. The negotiation and completion of the Chemical Weapons Convention in the twilight of the Cold War was a valuable element in a bigger, balanced strategy to increase the security of the United States and to promote political change around the world. We negotiated from a position of economic, political, and military strength. We energized our technology and economy, while reducing subsidies to the Communist bloc. We recognized the ``evil empire'' for what it was and rejected attitudes of ``moral equivalence'', which undermine our resolve and strengthen our adversary. We modernized our defenses, including our chemical weapons deterrent, even as we made arms control an integral part of that overall foreign and national security strategy. One can see this, in one small example, even in the way our pursuit of a ban on chemical weapons reinforced our commitment to the spread of democracy. We sought intensive verification measures so that we might reduce the threat posed by the Warsaw Pact, but also because we knew that totalitarian regimes cannot long survive when their citizens are exposed to contradictory information. The requirement for detailed information on chemical weapons stocks and facilities before reaching agreement, at the time an innovative negotiating step which led to the December 1989 U.S./Soviet Phase I data exchange and the recent Phase II exchange, sparked a controversy which continues in Russia even today over the history of the Soviet chemical and biological weapons programs. Our demand for trial inspections prior to completion of negotiations aided in crafting a better treaty, but it also caused Soviet citizens to ask why they themselves could not see what Americans were allowed to see. Our insistence, first in the U.S./Soviet Bilateral Destruction Agreement (BDA) of 1990, and later in the CWC, that destruction of chemical weapons stocks be done in a safe and environmentally sound manner has created a grassroots political process of ``NIMBY''--not in my backyard--which has complicated agreement on a chemical weapons destruction plan but also complicates a return of the old system. One should not exaggerate the role that arms control has played in promoting our national agenda, but one should not ignore it either. Arguably, the CWC is more important in today's violent and changing world than it was when it was being negotiated during the Cold War. The end of the Warsaw Pact, America's sole superpower status, its changing global military missions, and its advanced conventional munitions have reduced the circumstances under which the United States would decide to deploy chemical weapons into an operational theater as a deterrent. Increasingly circumstances are such that it is more important to reduce the likelihood that others will use them than that we have them. The Chemical Weapons Convention plays an essential role in our efforts to curb the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and their means of delivery. In the long run, our non-proliferation, counter-proliferation, or anti-proliferation efforts may be doomed to failure if we cannot bring about political change and greater stability around the globe. As I have suggested, the CWC continues to be a small, but important part of that effort. In the near term, however, the CWC may actually play its most important role. We will fall dangerously short in our efforts to stop the proliferation of more destructive nuclear and biological wcapons if we cannot even codify and build upon the international norms which emerged in the negotiation of the ban on chemical weapons. At a time when we must build support for long term monitoring of Iraq and ``special inspections'' by the International Atomic Energy Agency in North Korea and elsewhere, entry into force of the CWC will commit ever more of the international community to the unprecedented openness increasingly necessary if we are to prevent disaster. At a time when the global economy reduces trade barriers, but also undermines controls on proliferation-related technologies, the CWC codifies the principle that no nation should trade in dangerous materials with those who will not accept international non-proliferation norms. At a time when threats to international security may require military forces of the United States to be deployed within range of the weapons of outlaw regimes, the CWC can reduce the dangers our troops will face and help provide the basis in international law and public opinion for strong measures that we and others may be forced to take. These are important external effects of the CWC, but what of the substantive workings of the Convention itself? They are revolutionary. Given the inherent technical difficulty of achieving a meaningful ban on chemical weapons, they need to be. The text of the Chemical Weapons Convention has pushed the envelope of multilateral arms control far beyond what was once believed negotiable. It may be that the special circumstances at the end of the Cold War and the Gulf War made it possible for a very experienced international and American team to achieve what otherwise could never have been done. But more than opportunity was involved. Years of careful preparation and experience led the way. The former Reagan and Bush officials here today played a key role in that process. Important lessons learned from the on-going arms control process were applied over the course of the negotiation of the Chemical Weapons Convention. In negotiation, we were not afraid to ask for far more than an acceptable bottom line. Great emphasis was placed on more precise draftsmanship, more detailed data exchanges, greater openness and interaction, an organization with the power to conduct intrusive inspections and recommend sanctions. Every effort was made to make cheating by parties less attractive, more difficult, more likely to be discovered, and more certain to result in a stiff penalty. Nations which refused to become parties to this new international norm would also pay a heavy economic and political price. Nations which joined could expect reasonable assistance if threaten by chemical weapons. Although our process was not perfect, careful study came before making most decisions. A marketplace of ideas often resulted in disagreements, especially when facts were few and concepts vague. In the end, however, a vigorous interagency process which ensured that all of the relevant information was considered and that senior officials were exposed to key technical information and alternative views resulted in better decisions. Sometimes a consensus developed, sometimes difficult, divisive decisions had to be made. Diplomatic and political considerations often influenced fine tuning and presentation, but I think the record will show that in the CWC, as in the INF treaty, the START I and II treaties, and in the Verification Protocol which made possible a 98-0 vote in the Senate for consent to ratify the Threshold Test Ban Treaty, national security was the overwhelmingly central determinant. One example from the Chemical Weapons Convention is that of challenge inspections. Everyone knows that no magic telescope exists which will tell us where in the world on any given day someone will be violating some provision of the CWC. But everyone also knows who are the most likely threats and where potential threats to our forces must be considered most seriously. Information is gathered, intelligence estimates are made, and military precautions taken. In the past, it has usually stopped there for lack of more intrusive measures including challenge inspections which might provide a basis for international action without compromising sensitive sources and methods. A verification and enforcement regime for the CWC needed a challenge inspection mechanism. At the same time, we recognized that challenge inspections were not magic either. They may or may not find the evidence you need, depending on circumstances, procedures, and skill. Worse, such intrusive inspections could be abused or backfire revealing important proprietary information or national security secrets. Constitutional questions related to property and privacy also needed to be addressed. No technical challenge in arms control over the twelve years of the Reagan and Bush administrations received more careful consideration at all levels than that of implementation of a challenge inspection regime. Working with professionals and experts inside and outside of government, we sought to find a path which would maximize the effectiveness of inspections while minimizing costs including the risk to sensitive information. We learned much along the way. More often than not, the real problems and real solutions were to be found in the field and among the operators rather than within the Washington-based bureaucracy. We found that different sites and activities posed different problems. We discovered that some sensitive information was less vulnerable than we had believed, but that some was more vulnerable. We learned that with or without a CWC, some security measures should be strengthened. We discovered that at many sensitive sites concern about illegal chemical activity could be dispelled without much risk. We also feared that at a few sites we could offer little meaningful access without great risk. Out of this continuous process, we developed an approach which can work and which gives us what we need to protect highly sensitive information. Conceptually, the approach was simple. Access would be granted to any challenged site, but access would be managed at that site to protect sensitive information. If, at a particular site, timeliness or intrusiveness were not considered sufficient to resolve legitimate concerns, then the inspected party had an obligation to resolve those concerns by other means. To meet diverse concerns, however, the desired U.S. package involved some complexity. Moreover, it involved far more intrusiveness than some nations desired and more rules for managed access than other nations favored. The more nations studied the proposal, the more they understood that it could work. To obtain the U.S. position as an outcome was made easier because it could be portrayed as a natural compromise between opposing views. In the end, however, I had no doubt that we would get our position because we had made it clear that we would not join consensus on a treaty that did not meet our security concerns. Other nations understood that we had done our homework and that we meant what we said. Still, the conclusion of the CWC does not come without a price, and its contributions to our security will not be fully achieved without effective implementation not only of the CWC itself but also of a sound foreign policy and national security strategy. One of the inherent dangers of engaging in arms control negotiations is that success will have a soporific effect on the nation's attention to its national defense and that of its friends, allies, and interests around the world. When treaties are seen as solutions to our security challenges rather than tools to be used to help address those challenges, danger grows. When the Biological Weapons Convention was concluded, too many people assumed the threat of biological warfare had been eliminated. Research on defenses received inadequate support, and we saw too much of the ``Sverdlovsk'' phenomenon--a propensity to explain away what one does not want to be so. One hopes that we are not seeing this again with respect to North Korea and the NPT. Some would argue that this danger that arms control will lull us into neglecting our defenses means that we should never negotiate or at least never reach agreements. The problem with that conclusion is that it assumes we cannot trust our own nation to negotiate in its own interest or provide for its own defense. When this becomes a problem, it is a problem the American people and its representatives have the power to solve. We must make certain they get the facts. Hearings like this are an important means for doing that. For my part, I believe that the arms control and non-proliferation tools can be used to promote our national security, and we must ensure that they do. The Chemical Weapons Convention is clearly a tool which can enhance our national security. I believe that the successful conclusion of arms control agreements need not result in the neglect of our defenses, but it often has. In giving its consent to ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention without reservations, the Senate should take real steps to support implementation of the treaty, fund a strong defense program, and promote a balanced national security strategy which recognizes that the United States must be the leader in a very dangerous world. The world has undergone dramatic change, and arms control trains have been rushing by. In such a world, if we do not shape the arms control process to serve our interests, we can be certain that some nations will be pressing in directions that are not in our interest. The Chemical Weapons Convention before this committee is in our interest. Again, Mr. Chairman, Distinguished Members of the Committee, I believe that the United States Senate should give its consent to ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention. Thank you.