27 April 2000
(Says deployment decision to be based on threat to U.S. security) (680) By Susan Ellis Washington File Staff Writer Washington -- Defense Secretary Cohen told a Senate Appropriations subcommittee April 26 that, although he commends Russian President Vladimir Putin for "getting the Duma to ratify" START II (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty), he believes that tying ratification to "no deployment for national missile defense (NMD) is simply unacceptable. "They should ratify START II based on the agreement, period," the Clinton administration official said. Cohen said the United States will negotiate with the Russians to see "whether or not we can amend the ABM treaty to take into account a national missile defense system, if the president should choose to go forward." He advised the senators, whenever they travel to Moscow, "to try to arrange to meet your counterparts. It's very important that you talk to them and you talk very straight with them. I always try to meet with Duma members and to lay out our strategy and what our goals are." Cohen said President Clinton's decision on whether to deploy NMD this summer will be based solely on whether considerations set out have been met. The first such consideration, he said, is whether there is a credible threat to U.S. national security. The defense secretary said he believes the threat is real and will increase. Other tests include technological capability and costs and, he said, "the next question is, what is the impact upon our arms reductions and stability in the world, in terms of strategic systems? Those are the four tests the president is going to apply." After the tests, set for late June or early July, there will be about a 30-day period in which Cohen will examine the results and then make a recommendation to the president. "But it will be separate and distinct from Russia's ratification of START II," Cohen said. "And I would not have the Duma be in a position to tie the two together. We have to look at what the threat is to our country. We have to look in terms of the countries that are most critical of NMD, that also have participated in spreading that technology to some degree. "We will look at what our national security interests are and then see whether this system, as contemplated, is designed to defeat a threat from a rogue nation. But I can't tell you that now; I'll be in a position this summer to make a recommendation to the president," Cohen said. Asked by Senator Richard Shelby (Republican, Alabama) about the timeframe for removing remaining U.S. troops in the Balkans, Cohen declined to name "a fixed period" adding, "I can tell you there has been great progress....We have seen our forces come from 20,000 in number down to roughly 4,300 or so. In Kosovo, we have seen a rather significant change on the ground from last year, when we were in the middle of waging an air campaign....But it's going to take some time." Shelby asked Cohen whether, given the drawdown in U.S. forces, it is still U.S. policy to "maintain a military capable of fighting and winning two major-theater wars almost simultaneously." "The answer to that is 'yes'," Cohen said, qualifying that by adding that there would be much higher risk "on the second MTW (major theater war) than is desirable." Asked whether the two theater war policy might be reviewed, Cohen said it is always under review and subject to the Quadrennial Defense Review coming up in the next administration. "We feel that we still need to maintain that capability for the foreseeable future, because we still have at least two major-theater war potentials that we have to address, namely the Gulf region and also in the Korean peninsula." he said. (The Washington File is a product of the Office of International Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. Web site: http://usinfo.state.gov)